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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Patro Eisden cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Francs Borains.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Patro Eisden beat Francs Borains 1-3 at Stade Robert Urbain, Regular Season - 20, in the Challenger Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Francs Borains 0.96 xG and Patro Eisden 1.60 xG, a combined 2.56. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Patro Eisden outscored their 1.60 projection by 1.4. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Francs Borains attack 0.84 / defence 1.10 against Patro Eisden attack 1.07 / defence 0.82, drawn from 49/49 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Francs Borains 22% | Draw 26% | Patro Eisden 52%, with Patro Eisden to win its most likely call at 52%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 73% and landed. Over 3.5 was 26% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 61% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Francs Borains 65%, Patro Eisden 57%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 51%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Francs Borains's trading profile (49 games, 24 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did.

Patro Eisden's trading profile (49 games, 24 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 39% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Patro Eisden arrived the stronger side — 1.67 PPG against 1.10. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Francs Borains (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.62 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Patro Eisden (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.12 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights