Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 12 Dec 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Yvan Georges

Competition

Challenger Pro League

Belgium

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Liège Win

34%

Excelsior Virton

2.95

25%

Draw

3.93

41%

Liège

2.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Excelsior Virton xG

Total xG

2.75

1.45

Liège xG

34%
25%
41%
Excelsior VirtonDrawLiège

2.95

34%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

2.46

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

23%

Excelsior Virton

4.26

27%

Liège

3.68

Win to Nil

8%

Excelsior Virton

12.56

11%

Liège

9.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 9.2 6.7 3.2 1.2 0.3
1 8.3 12.0 8.7 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 5.4 7.8 5.7 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 2.4 3.4 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.303
λ Away (xG) 1.450
Total xG 2.753
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.358
Excelsior Virton attack strength 0.850
Excelsior Virton defence strength 1.150
Liège attack strength 0.928
Liège defence strength 0.992
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 32