Beerschot VA 0-0 RSC Anderlecht II – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates RSC Anderlecht II at 40%, yet in-form Beerschot VA provide a compelling counter-argument — this Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Challenger Pro League clash, Promotion Round - 1 as Beerschot VA welcome RSC Anderlecht II to Olympisch Stadion. Kick-off is set for Sunday 26 February 2023 at 15:00 UTC.
Form Guide
Beerschot VA — All Games: 6W 0D 4L from 10 Challenger Pro League outings this season, averaging 1.80 points per game. Last five: L L W L L. Offensively they are averaging 1.50 goals per game, with 1.20 conceded. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Beerschot VA, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Beerschot VA's form when playing at home: 5W 1D 4L across 10 games at Olympisch Stadion this term (1.60 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Looking at all fixtures this season, RSC Anderlecht II stand at 3W 3D 4L from 10 Challenger Pro League matches — 1.20 PPG. Last five: L D W D W. They are scoring at 1.90 per game and conceding 2.00. Conceding 2.00 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 90% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play. This season is still relatively young for RSC Anderlecht II, so this record blends games from this season and last.
RSC Anderlecht II's away record: 5W 2D 3L from 10 road trips in Challenger Pro League this season (1.70 PPG). They are averaging 2.20 goals per away game — strong road scoring that makes them a threat even without home support. Both teams have scored in 100% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture. Their away PPG of 1.70 exceeds their overall 1.20 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
Beerschot VA carry the stronger recent momentum — 0.60 PPG ahead of their opponents on 1.80 vs 1.20. The form data is a point in their favour, and where the price allows, it is the cleaner directional bet.
H2H
The H2H landscape is flat: 2 previous encounters have yielded 1 wins for Beerschot VA, 1 for RSC Anderlecht II and 0 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
The 2 previous encounters between these sides have been high-scoring affairs — 3.0 goals per contest on average. Historical precedent backs the Over 2.5 goals market. The most recent clash, on 26 Nov 2022, ended 2–1 with Beerschot VA winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
In-Play Data
Beerschot VA trading profile (22 games, 11 at home): they score before half-time in 73% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 36% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 36% of games (home games).
RSC Anderlecht II trading profile (22 games, 11 at away): they score before half-time in 91% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 75% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 91% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 91% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 54%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Beerschot VA 54% and RSC Anderlecht II 77% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (Beerschot VA 54% | RSC Anderlecht II 77%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Beerschot VA 1.57 xG and RSC Anderlecht II 1.66 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Beerschot VA attack 0.875 / defence 0.952 | RSC Anderlecht II attack 1.198 / defence 1.257. League average goals — home 1.428 / away 1.453. RSC Anderlecht II bring a strong defensive rating of 1.257 — this is suppressing Beerschot VA's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 22 Beerschot VA games / 22 RSC Anderlecht II games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Beerschot VA 36% | Draw 23% | RSC Anderlecht II 40%. Fair-value odds: Beerschot VA 2.78 | Draw 4.35 | RSC Anderlecht II 2.50. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 23% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 63% | BTTS probability 64% | Total xG 3.23. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 63% — the 3.23 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 64% reflects that both xG figures (1.57 / 1.66) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates RSC Anderlecht II as the most likely outcome at 40% — marginal model lean. Note a divergence: in-form Beerschot VA (1.80 PPG) cuts against the Poisson lean — consider the strength-adjusted model over surface-level form results. With a 23% draw probability, Draw No Bet on RSC Anderlecht II offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 36% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 3.23 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 63% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 3.4 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 64%. Form rates corroborate: Beerschot VA 40% | RSC Anderlecht II 100% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 36% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II | Competition: Challenger Pro League, Promotion Round - 1 | Venue: Olympisch Stadion • Kick-off: Sunday 26 Feb 2023, 15:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Beerschot VA 36% | Draw 23% | RSC Anderlecht II 40% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 63% | BTTS 64% | xG Beerschot VA 1.57 / RSC Anderlecht II 1.66 • Poisson strength factors: Beerschot VA attack 0.875 / def 0.952 | RSC Anderlecht II attack 1.198 / def 1.257 | league avg home 1.428 / away 1.453 • Poisson stance: RSC Anderlecht II (40%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.57
Beerschot VA xG
Expected Goals
1.66
RSC Anderlecht II xG
64%
BTTS
83%
Over 1.5
63%
Over 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II kick off?
Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II kicked off at 15:00 on Sunday 26 February 2023 at Olympisch Stadion.
What was the final score in Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II?
Beerschot VA 0 - 0 RSC Anderlecht II.
Where is Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II being played?
The match is being played at Olympisch Stadion.
What competition is Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II part of?
Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II is a Promotion Round - 1 fixture in the Challenger Pro League (Belgium).
Who is favourite to win Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II?
Our statistical model gives Beerschot VA a 36% chance of winning, RSC Anderlecht II a 40% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw — making RSC Anderlecht II the favourite.
Will both teams score in Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II?
Our model estimates a 64% probability that both Beerschot VA and RSC Anderlecht II will score (BTTS).
Will Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 63%.
What is the head-to-head record between Beerschot VA and RSC Anderlecht II?
Record (2 meetings): Beerschot VA 1W | Draws 0 | RSC Anderlecht II 1W.
What form are Beerschot VA and RSC Anderlecht II in?
Beerschot VA (all comps): 6W-0D-4L in 10 | 1.80 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.20 | L5 L-L-W-L-L. RSC Anderlecht II (all comps): 3W-3D-4L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.90 / GA 2.00 | L5 L-D-W-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates Beerschot VA's attack at 0.88x the league average against RSC Anderlecht II's defence at 1.26x — combine the two and it projects 1.57 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, RSC Anderlecht II's attack versus Beerschot VA's defence, projects 1.66 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 22/22 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 11.7% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-2 (8.6%), 2-1 (8.1%). Together the top three scorelines make up 28% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
RSC Anderlecht II Win
36%
2.74
23%
4.29
40%
2.49
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.3%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.6%
Away win
2 – 1
8.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.57
Beerschot VA xG
Total xG
3.23
1.66
RSC Anderlecht II xG
2.74
36%
Home win
4.29
23%
Draw
2.49
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
40%
Over 3.5
2.50
60%
Under 3.5
1.67
22%
Over 4.5
4.55
78%
Under 4.5
1.28
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
64%
BTTS Yes
1.56
36%
BTTS No
2.79
Clean Sheet
19%
5.24
21%
4.81
Win to Nil
7%
14.37
8%
11.95
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 6.6 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 6.2 | 10.3 | 8.6 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 8.1 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.7%.
How many goals are Beerschot VA and RSC Anderlecht II expected to score?
The model projects 1.57 expected goals for Beerschot VA and 1.66 for RSC Anderlecht II, a combined total of 3.23.
How confident is the prediction model for Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 40%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 22 outings, Beerschot VA have picked up 1.73 PPG on a 12W 2D 8L record — L-L-W-L-L across the most recent five. The sample for Beerschot VA is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
RSC Anderlecht II's form line: 9W 7D 6L from 22 games, 1.55 PPG, last five L-D-W-D-W. The sample for RSC Anderlecht II is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: Beerschot VA on 1.73 PPG, RSC Anderlecht II on 1.55. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
On home soil, Beerschot VA have posted 1.73 PPG from 11 outings (6W 1D 4L).
On the road, RSC Anderlecht II have gone 6W 2D 3L from 11 away games — 1.82 PPG when travelling.
Goals in Recent Form
Beerschot VA are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game recently; RSC Anderlecht II are on 1.91 scored and 1.59 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: RSC Anderlecht II in 77%.
Last 22 Results — Challenger Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Beerschot VA
Blended
RSC Anderlecht II
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Beerschot VA and RSC Anderlecht II in coming into this match?
Beerschot VA have gone 12W 2D 8L in their last 22 games (1.73 PPG), while RSC Anderlecht II have gone 9W 7D 6L in their last 22 (1.55 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Beerschot VA at home or RSC Anderlecht II away?
RSC Anderlecht II's away record (1.82 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Beerschot VA at home: 1.73 PPG; RSC Anderlecht II away: 1.82 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
8 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to October 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Challenger Pro League. They last met on 10 March 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Streaks & Records
There's a clear current trend here: Beerschot VA have taken the last 2 head-to-head results.
Beerschot VA's record when hosting RSC Anderlecht II specifically: 1W 2D 1L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 8 Meetings
5
Beerschot VA
2
Draws
1
RSC Anderlecht II
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Beerschot VA and RSC Anderlecht II?
From 8 meetings on record, Beerschot VA have won 5, RSC Anderlecht II have won 1, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Beerschot VA and RSC Anderlecht II last play each other?
They last met on 10 March 2026, when Beerschot VA 4-2 RSC Anderlecht II.
Who has won more matches between Beerschot VA and RSC Anderlecht II?
Beerschot VA have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Beerschot VA are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 73% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 36% of the time.
RSC Anderlecht II are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 91% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 46% of the time.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Beerschot VA 36%, RSC Anderlecht II 91% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 36% for Beerschot VA and 91% for RSC Anderlecht II. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 18% and 73% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Beerschot VA keep a clean sheet in 46% of their matches.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Beerschot VA home games / RSC Anderlecht II away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Beerschot VA play RSC Anderlecht II?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 36% of Beerschot VA's games and 91% of RSC Anderlecht II's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Beerschot VA vs RSC Anderlecht II usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 36% of Beerschot VA's matches and 91% of RSC Anderlecht II's.
Do Beerschot VA and RSC Anderlecht II tend to score early?
Beerschot VA have had a goal before half-time in 73% of their recent matches, RSC Anderlecht II in 91% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Beerschot VA's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Olympisch Stadion, Promotion Round - 1, as Beerschot VA and RSC Anderlecht II drew 0-0 in the Challenger Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Beerschot VA 1.57 xG and RSC Anderlecht II 1.66 xG, a combined 3.23. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Beerschot VA fell 1.6 short of their projected output. RSC Anderlecht II landed 1.7 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Beerschot VA attack 0.88 / defence 0.95 against RSC Anderlecht II attack 1.20 / defence 1.26, drawn from 22/22 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Beerschot VA 36% | Draw 23% | RSC Anderlecht II 40%, with RSC Anderlecht II to win its most likely call at 40%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 23% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 63%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 83% and missed. Over 3.5 was 40% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 64% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 66% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Beerschot VA 54%, RSC Anderlecht II 77%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 66%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Beerschot VA's trading profile (22 games, 11 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not.
RSC Anderlecht II's trading profile (22 games, 11 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 77% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Beerschot VA 1.73 PPG, RSC Anderlecht II 1.55 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Beerschot VA (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.36 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. RSC Anderlecht II (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.18 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.82 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.