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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Patro Eisden cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Beerschot VA.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Patro Eisden beat Beerschot VA 0-2 at Olympisch Stadion, Regular Season - 17, in the Challenger Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Beerschot VA 1.32 xG and Patro Eisden 0.92 xG, a combined 2.24. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Beerschot VA fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Patro Eisden outscored their 0.92 projection by 1.1. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Beerschot VA attack 1.12 / defence 0.86 against Patro Eisden attack 0.81 / defence 0.88, drawn from 15/44 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Beerschot VA 46% | Draw 28% | Patro Eisden 26%, with Beerschot VA to win its most likely call at 46%. The actual Patro Eisden win had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 39%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 66% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 44% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Beerschot VA 58%, Patro Eisden 54%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Beerschot VA's trading profile (50 games, 24 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Patro Eisden's trading profile (50 games, 24 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Patro Eisden arrived the stronger side — 1.74 PPG against 1.12. Form held, and they took the win. Beerschot VA (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.46 scoring average — below par going forward. Patro Eisden (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights