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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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AS Eupen and Lokeren-Temse share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

AS Eupen and Lokeren-Temse finished level at 1-1 at Kehrwegstadion, Regular Season - 22, in the Challenger Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting AS Eupen 1.16 xG and Lokeren-Temse 1.37 xG, a combined 2.53. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of AS Eupen attack 1.00 / defence 0.99 against Lokeren-Temse attack 1.01 / defence 0.84, drawn from 48/49 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it AS Eupen 32% | Draw 27% | Lokeren-Temse 42%, with Lokeren-Temse to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (AS Eupen 62%, Lokeren-Temse 46%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

AS Eupen's trading profile (48 games, 23 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did.

Lokeren-Temse's trading profile (48 games, 23 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — AS Eupen 1.25 PPG, Lokeren-Temse 1.52 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights