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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 3 November 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eight matches clear our threshold on Tuesday 3 November 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Derby vs Norwich at 54% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 33%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies six of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Derby
– : – 19:45
Norwich
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Championship Β· England
Preston
– : – 19:45
Sheffield Utd
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
#3 Championship Β· England
Charlton
– : – 19:45
Bolton
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 58%
#4 Championship Β· England
West Brom
– : – 20:00
Southampton
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 55%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
– : – 22:30
Mirassol
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
– : – 19:45
Swansea
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Championship Β· England
Watford
– : – 19:45
Lincoln
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 56%
#8 League One Β· England
Huddersfield
– : – 19:45
Luton
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 74%

Showing top 8 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 3 November 2026?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Derby vs Norwich at 54% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.