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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Thursday 8 October 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Seven fixtures clear the bar on Thursday 8 October 2026. Santos vs Flamengo sits top on 58% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies five of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
: 22:30
Flamengo
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
: 16:00
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
: 16:00
Al Taawon
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 75%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
: 16:00
Al-Faisaly FC
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
: 15:00
VPS
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
: 16:00
NEOM
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
: 16:00
Al Riyadh
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 75%

Showing top 7 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Thursday 8 October 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Santos vs Flamengo at 58% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.