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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 3 October 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 3 October 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Bromley vs Wycombe at 58% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies six of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, one landed the away win market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Bromley
– : – PST
Wycombe
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
0 : 2 FT
Plymouth
Win 26%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 League One Β· England
Barnsley
– : – PST
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 67%
#4 League Two Β· England
Accrington ST
2 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 League One Β· England
Wigan
– : – 14:00
Mansfield Town
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#7 League One Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
– : – PST
Stevenage
Win 29%
Draw 39%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 67%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#9 League One Β· England
Peterborough
– : – PST
Notts County
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60%

Showing top 9 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 3 October 2026?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Bromley vs Wycombe at 58% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.