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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 12 June 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Four matches cleared our threshold on Friday 12 June 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers at 45% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 45% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 4, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, one landed the away win market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 54%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
4 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 57%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
0 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 74%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
4 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 59%

Showing top 4 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 12 June 2026?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers at 45% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.