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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 16 December 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 16 December 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Olympic Charleroi vs Lommel United at 69% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Challenger Pro League supplies three of the top 6, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Olympic Charleroi
1 : 2 FT
Lommel United
Win 13%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 4 FT
FC Thun
Win 29%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
3 : 1 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
0 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 2 FT
KAA Gent II
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Rayong FC
2 : 4 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 6 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 16 December 2025?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympic Charleroi vs Lommel United at 69% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.