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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 6 September 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Saturday 6 September 2025. Colchester vs Crewe led the list at 51% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 42%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#2 League One Β· England
Plymouth
4 : 2 FT
Stockport County
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#3 League Two Β· England
Barrow
1 : 3 FT
Swindon Town
Win 25%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 54%
#4 League Two Β· England
Salford City
3 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 League Two Β· England
Notts County
1 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 League One Β· England
Port Vale
2 : 3 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 31%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#7 League One Β· England
Wycombe
2 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#8 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Vancouver FC
2 : 5 FT
Valour
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#9 League Two Β· England
Cheltenham
1 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#10 League Two Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 3 FT
Grimsby
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
#11 League Two Β· England
Newport County
2 : 3 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#12 League Two Β· England
Walsall
1 : 0 FT
Chesterfield
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 6 September 2025?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Colchester vs Crewe at 51% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.