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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 7 July 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Sunday 7 July 2024. Nantong Zhiyun vs Chengdu Better City led the list at 63% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 36%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 56%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
KFUM Oslo
1 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 17%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
2 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
1 : 2 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 21%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
3 : 0 FT
Lillestrom
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
1 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vitoria
2 : 1 FT
Criciuma
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam
0 : 0 FT
Tromso
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
5 : 1 FT
Brann
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Gais
0 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 7 July 2024?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Nantong Zhiyun vs Chengdu Better City at 63% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.