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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Tuesday 24 October 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 24 October 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Wigan vs Oxford United at 54% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the away win market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Wigan
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 4 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 23%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 53%
#3 League One · England
Cambridge United
0 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#4 Championship · England
Millwall
1 : 2 FT
Blackburn
Win 29%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#6 League Two · England
Forest Green
0 : 2 FT
Barrow
Win 31%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 54%
#7 League One · England
Carlisle
2 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#8 League One · England
Port Vale
0 : 1 FT
Peterborough
Win 32%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 League Two · England
Crewe
0 : 2 FT
Stockport County
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#10 League One · England
Wycombe
2 : 4 FT
Bolton
Win 36%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
#11 Championship · England
Norwich
1 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#12 League Two · England
Doncaster
0 : 3 FT
Salford City
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Brescia
0 : 1 FT
Modena
Win 29%
Draw 39%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#14 League One · England
Northampton
2 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#15 Championship · England
Leicester
1 : 0 FT
Sunderland
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#16 League One · England
Reading
1 : 2 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%

Showing top 16 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 24 October 2023?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wigan vs Oxford United at 54% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.