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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Monday 28 August 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 28 August 2023. Al Wehda Club vs Al-Ittihad FC sits top on 64% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 46%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Wehda Club
0 : 3 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 16%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
0 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 52%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
3 : 0 FT
Al Riyadh
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Uthai Thani
0 : 2 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 27%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 45%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 57%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
3 : 0 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
1 : 2 FT
FC Porto
Win 36%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 57%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al-Ettifaq
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
1 : 3 FT
Malmo FF
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
3 : 2 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 7 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
Annecy
1 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 28 August 2023?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Wehda Club vs Al-Ittihad FC at 64% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.