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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Wednesday 5 April 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Wednesday 5 April 2023. Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC led the list at 56% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Veikkausliiga supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 15%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 56%
BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Kooteepee
0 : 2 FT
AC Oulu
Win 26%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
2 : 2 FT
Al-Raed
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Mariehamn
1 : 1 FT
Ilves
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
0 : 0 FT
Lahti
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
2 : 1 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
2 : 0 FT
Honka
Win 29%
Draw 35%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 0 FT
Sporting CP
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
1 : 2 FT
Inter Turku
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
1 : 5 FT
Newcastle
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#12 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Baten
2 : 0 FT
Al Wehda Club
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 5 April 2023?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC at 56% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.