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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Monday 15 August 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 15 August 2022. Hebei Zhongji vs Shandong Luneng sits top on 59% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the away win market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Hebei Zhongji
0 : 7 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HIFK Helsinki
0 : 2 FT
SJK
Win 18%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
0 : 6 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 30%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
2 : 5 FT
Napoli
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 2 FT
FC Seoul
Win 28%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
3 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Korona Kielce
0 : 1 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
1 : 2 FT
Union Espanola
Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
0 : 1 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
3 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
1 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 3 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
0 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 3 FT
Heracles
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 14 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 15 August 2022?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hebei Zhongji vs Shandong Luneng at 59% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.