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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Monday 25 April 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Monday 25 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Boavista vs Sporting CP at 55% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 42%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
0 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
1 : 0 FT
FC Porto
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 30%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
0 : 3 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Crotone
3 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
3 : 2 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 38%
Draw 22%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Krasnodar
1 : 3 FT
Zenit
Win 27%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 0 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Perugia
2 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 26%
Draw 39%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 66%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 1 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
0 : 3 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
1 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 25 April 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Boavista vs Sporting CP at 55% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.