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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 19 April 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 19 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Oxford United vs Milton Keynes Dons at 44% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 44% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies four of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the away win market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Oxford United
1 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
#2 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
2 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 23%
Draw 37%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
3 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
Win 26%
Draw 36%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Sochaux
1 : 1 FT
Toulouse
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#5 League One Β· England
Ipswich
2 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 26%
Draw 37%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 63%
#6 League One Β· England
Cambridge United
0 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Auxerre
2 : 1 FT
Dijon
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
0 : 1 FT
Nimes
Win 34%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 64%

Showing top 8 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 19 April 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Oxford United vs Milton Keynes Dons at 44% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.