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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 19 March 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 19 March 2022. Cagliari vs AC Milan sits top on 65% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 44%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the away win market — 63%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
0 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 13%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 65%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
#2 League One Β· England
Gillingham
0 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 15%
Draw 24%
Win 60%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 20%
Draw 22%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
3 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 25%
Draw 21%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 2 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 25%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 53%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Göztepe
0 : 2 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 25%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 53%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#9 League One Β· England
Crewe
0 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 22%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
5 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#12 League Two Β· England
Bradford
1 : 2 FT
Port Vale
Win 21%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 58%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
0 : 0 FT
Plzen
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
BTTS Yes 56%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Sandhausen
0 : 1 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 26%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 67%
#16 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Mariupol
– : – CANC
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#17 League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
3 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Championship Β· England
Hull City
1 : 3 FT
Luton
Win 24%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#19 League Two Β· England
Oldham
0 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 26%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 55%
#20 League One Β· England
Cambridge United
0 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 26%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 19 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cagliari vs AC Milan at 65% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.