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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 15 February 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 15 February 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Cosenza vs Perugia at 43% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 43% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
1 : 2 FT
Perugia
Win 20%
Draw 37%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
1 : 0 FT
Niort
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#3 Championship Β· England
Cardiff
2 : 0 FT
Coventry
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Pordenone
0 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 24%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zlin
2 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
2 : 0 FT
Brighton
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 League Two Β· England
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#8 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
3 : 1 FT
Bolton
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 54%
#9 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
0 : 3 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 35%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
#10 Championship Β· England
Millwall
2 : 0 FT
QPR
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 15 February 2022?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Cosenza vs Perugia at 43% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.