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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 6 August 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Friday 6 August 2021. The strongest reading belongs to FC UFA vs Lokomotiv at 63% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Russia
FC UFA
1 : 1 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 16%
Draw 20%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sport Recife
0 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 19%
Draw 30%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 23%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
3 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Super League Β· China
Dalian Aerbin
0 : 5 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 21%
Draw 37%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 29%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Górnik Łęczna
0 : 4 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Zall
1 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 30%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 60%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 31%
Draw 39%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 9 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 6 August 2021?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by FC UFA vs Lokomotiv at 63% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.