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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Monday 24 May 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 24 May 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Brann vs Bodo/Glimt at 55% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
1 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 20%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 2 FT
Finn Harps
Win 17%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 54%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
#3 Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
– : – CANC
Rosenborg
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
2 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#5 Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
– : – CANC
Valerenga
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
– : – CANC
Kristiansund BK
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Eliteserien · Norway
Mjondalen
1 : 1 FT
Valerenga
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
5 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
– : – CANC
Bodo/Glimt
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 58%
#10 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 0 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
1 : 3 FT
Sandefjord
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#12 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 32%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#13 Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
1 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Orebro SK
1 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 30%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
– : – CANC
Brann
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 65%
#16 Eliteserien · Norway
Stabaek
– : – CANC
Stromsgodset
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#17 Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
0 : 0 FT
Stabaek
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 17 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 24 May 2021?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Brann vs Bodo/Glimt at 55% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.