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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 3 April 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Saturday 3 April 2021. RB Leipzig vs Bayern München sits top on 38% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 38% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 36%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
0 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 34%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile
Universidad de Chile
1 : 1 FT
Huachipato
Win 24%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 59%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 2 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
0 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
1 : 3 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 27%
Draw 39%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 57%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
1 : 0 FT
Union Espanola
Win 28%
Draw 39%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile
D. Melipilla
1 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 28%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 55%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
2 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 3 April 2021?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by RB Leipzig vs Bayern München at 38% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.