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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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WSG Wattens cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Grazer AK.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

WSG Wattens beat Grazer AK 2-0 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Regular Season - 22, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting WSG Wattens 1.38 xG and Grazer AK 1.05 xG, a combined 2.42. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Grazer AK landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of WSG Wattens attack 0.94 / defence 1.00 against Grazer AK attack 0.87 / defence 1.11, drawn from 43/43 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it WSG Wattens 44% | Draw 29% | Grazer AK 28%, with WSG Wattens to win its most likely call at 44%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 44%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 70% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (WSG Wattens 51%, Grazer AK 57%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

WSG Wattens's trading profile (53 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not.

Grazer AK's trading profile (53 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — WSG Wattens 1.09 PPG, Grazer AK 0.91 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the WSG Wattens win broke the near-deadlock. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.19 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.38 average — tighter than their form line. Grazer AK (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.96 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights