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Bundesliga · Relegation Round - 10

Kick-off

Fri 23 May 2025

18:30

Venue

Tivoli Stadion Tirol

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

WSG Wattens Win

45%

WSG Wattens

2.21

30%

Draw

3.31

25%

Grazer AK

4.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

WSG Wattens xG

Total xG

2.79

1.16

Grazer AK xG

45%
30%
25%
WSG WattensDrawGrazer AK

2.21

45%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

4.07

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

31%

WSG Wattens

3.20

20%

Grazer AK

5.06

Win to Nil

14%

WSG Wattens

7.08

5%

Grazer AK

20.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 7.2 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 10.0 11.6 6.8 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 8.1 9.4 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.4 5.1 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.8 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.621
λ Away (xG) 1.164
Total xG 2.785
League avg home goals 1.598
League avg away goals 1.201
WSG Wattens attack strength 0.783
WSG Wattens defence strength 1.059
Grazer AK attack strength 0.915
Grazer AK defence strength 1.295
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 22