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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Austria Vienna cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over WSG Wattens.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Austria Vienna beat WSG Wattens 0-2 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Regular Season - 22, in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting WSG Wattens 1.07 xG and Austria Vienna 1.35 xG, a combined 2.42. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. WSG Wattens fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of WSG Wattens attack 0.81 / defence 1.01 against Austria Vienna attack 1.11 / defence 0.87, drawn from 43/43 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it WSG Wattens 26% | Draw 35% | Austria Vienna 39%, with Austria Vienna to win its most likely call at 39%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 44%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (WSG Wattens 49%, Austria Vienna 51%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 47%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

WSG Wattens's trading profile (53 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 45% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Austria Vienna's trading profile (53 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Austria Vienna arrived the stronger side — 1.79 PPG against 0.85. Form held, and they took the win. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.88 scoring average — below par going forward. Austria Vienna (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.08 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.15 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights