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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Round - 1

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

13:30

Venue

Lavanttal Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wolfsberger AC Win

46%

Wolfsberger AC

2.15

28%

Draw

3.52

25%

Sturm Graz

3.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Wolfsberger AC xG

Total xG

3.05

1.28

Sturm Graz xG

46%
28%
25%
Wolfsberger ACDrawSturm Graz

2.15

46%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

3.98

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

28%

Wolfsberger AC

3.60

17%

Sturm Graz

5.89

Win to Nil

13%

Wolfsberger AC

7.74

4%

Sturm Graz

23.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 6.0 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.4 10.7 6.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 9.5 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.4 5.6 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.9 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.774
λ Away (xG) 1.280
Total xG 3.054
League avg home goals 1.597
League avg away goals 1.199
Wolfsberger AC attack strength 1.045
Wolfsberger AC defence strength 0.986
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.083
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.063
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44