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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

16:00

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Red Bull Salzburg Win

28%

Sturm Graz

3.60

25%

Draw

4.05

48%

Red Bull Salzburg

2.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

2.78

1.61

Red Bull Salzburg xG

28%
25%
48%
Sturm GrazDrawRed Bull Salzburg

3.60

28%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

2.10

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

20%

Sturm Graz

5.01

31%

Red Bull Salzburg

3.23

Win to Nil

6%

Sturm Graz

18.05

15%

Red Bull Salzburg

6.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 10.0 8.0 4.3 1.7 0.6
1 7.2 11.7 9.4 5.1 2.0 0.7
2 4.2 6.8 5.5 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 1.7 2.7 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.172
λ Away (xG) 1.611
Total xG 2.783
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.336
Sturm Graz attack strength 0.899
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.002
Red Bull Salzburg attack strength 1.203
Red Bull Salzburg defence strength 0.969
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 34