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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

13:30

Venue

Merkur Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

57%

Sturm Graz

1.76

26%

Draw

3.81

17%

FC BW Linz

5.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

3.04

1.04

FC BW Linz xG

57%
26%
17%
Sturm GrazDrawFC BW Linz

1.76

57%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

5.95

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

35%

Sturm Graz

2.84

14%

FC BW Linz

7.34

Win to Nil

20%

Sturm Graz

4.99

2%

FC BW Linz

43.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 9.6 10.0 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.3 6.6 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.2 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.994
λ Away (xG) 1.044
Total xG 3.038
League avg home goals 1.454
League avg away goals 1.222
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.502
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.029
FC BW Linz attack strength 0.830
FC BW Linz defence strength 0.913
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40