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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Group - 29

Kick-off

Sun 26 Apr 2026

16:00

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Austria Vienna Win

34%

Sturm Graz

2.92

28%

Draw

3.52

37%

Austria Vienna

2.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

2.50

1.28

Austria Vienna xG

34%
28%
37%
Sturm GrazDrawAustria Vienna

2.92

34%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

2.68

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

28%

Sturm Graz

3.61

30%

Austria Vienna

3.38

Win to Nil

9%

Sturm Graz

10.56

11%

Austria Vienna

9.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 10.5 6.8 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.0 12.8 8.2 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.1 7.8 5.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.5 3.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.218
λ Away (xG) 1.285
Total xG 2.503
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.147
Sturm Graz attack strength 0.966
Sturm Graz defence strength 0.930
Austria Vienna attack strength 1.204
Austria Vienna defence strength 0.937
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44