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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant SCR Altach run riot with a 3-0 hammering of WSG Wattens.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

SCR Altach beat WSG Wattens 3-0 at CASHPOINT Arena, Relegation Round - 6, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 1.23 xG and WSG Wattens 1.19 xG, a combined 2.42. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. SCR Altach beat their projection by 1.8 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. WSG Wattens landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 0.76 / defence 0.99 against WSG Wattens attack 0.99 / defence 1.01, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 34% | Draw 34% | WSG Wattens 32%, with SCR Altach to win its most likely call at 34%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 73% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 45% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 42%, WSG Wattens 48%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 48%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

SCR Altach's trading profile (59 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not.

WSG Wattens's trading profile (59 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 46% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — SCR Altach 0.86 PPG, WSG Wattens 0.88 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the SCR Altach win broke the near-deadlock. SCR Altach (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 0.86 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.14 average — tighter than their form line. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.90 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.76 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights