SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna – Pre-Match Analysis
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Poisson model favours Rapid Vienna (38%) — form and H2H data both point in the same direction as SCR Altach face Rapid Vienna.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
SCR Altach host Rapid Vienna at Cashpoint-Arena in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 22. Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday 27 February 2027 at 16:00 UTC.
Form Guide
SCR Altach — All Games: 2W 1D 7L from 10 Bundesliga outings this season, averaging 0.70 points per game. Last five: L L L L L. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.80 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. SCR Altach have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
In front of their own supporters this season, SCR Altach have posted 5W 2D 3L at Cashpoint-Arena — 1.70 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.70 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.70 — SCR Altach are significantly better at Cashpoint-Arena than their overall form suggests.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Rapid Vienna stand at 7W 0D 3L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 2.10 PPG. Last five: W W L W W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.50 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. Rapid Vienna have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
When travelling in Bundesliga this season, Rapid Vienna have posted 3W 3D 4L from 10 away outings — 1.20 PPG. Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture. Their away PPG of 1.20 is notably below their overall 2.10 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour Rapid Vienna — 1.40 PPG ahead of the hosts (2.10 vs 0.70). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.
Both teams score in over 70% of each side's relevant games (using home/away splits). At that combined rate, BTTS Yes is as well-evidenced as it gets — the data strongly backs two-way scoring.
H2H
Despite the anticipated home advantage, Rapid Vienna have the better historical record — 8 wins from 10 previous contests against 0 for SCR Altach.
The 10 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 2 Aug 2026, ended 0–1 with Rapid Vienna winning.
It is worth noting that Rapid Vienna have a superior record in this fixture despite their visitor status — 8 wins from 10 meetings. Home advantage alone is not a sufficient reason to dismiss that track record.
In-Play Profile
SCR Altach in-play tendencies (39 games, 19 at home): they score before half-time in 68% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 77% of the time; BTTS occurs in 63% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 42% of games (home games); they fail to score in 36% of games.
Rapid Vienna in-play tendencies (39 games, 19 at away): they score before half-time in 79% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 88% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 63% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 47% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — SCR Altach 46% versus Rapid Vienna 51%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (SCR Altach 44% | Rapid Vienna 49%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SCR Altach 1.66 xG and Rapid Vienna 1.71 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SCR Altach attack 0.923 / defence 1.139 | Rapid Vienna attack 1.245 / defence 0.999. League average goals — home 1.799 / away 1.204. Rapid Vienna have an above-average attack strength of 1.245 — the away xG of 1.71 is driven by genuine attacking quality on the road. Data: 29 SCR Altach games / 29 Rapid Vienna games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: SCR Altach 36% | Draw 27% | Rapid Vienna 38%. Fair-value odds: SCR Altach 2.78 | Draw 3.70 | Rapid Vienna 2.63. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 27% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 65% | BTTS probability 68% | Total xG 3.37. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 65% — a total xG of 3.37 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 68% reflects that both xG figures (1.66 / 1.71) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Rapid Vienna at 38% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 27% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Rapid Vienna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 36% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 3.37 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 65% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 2.9 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 68% on Yes. Form rates corroborate: SCR Altach 70% | Rapid Vienna 70% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 36% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 22 | Venue: Cashpoint-Arena • Kick-off: Saturday 27 Feb 2027, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SCR Altach 36% | Draw 27% | Rapid Vienna 38% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 65% | BTTS 68% | xG SCR Altach 1.66 / Rapid Vienna 1.71 • Poisson strength factors: SCR Altach attack 0.923 / def 1.139 | Rapid Vienna attack 1.245 / def 0.999 | league avg home 1.799 / away 1.204 • Poisson stance: Rapid Vienna (38%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.66
SCR Altach xG
Expected Goals
1.71
Rapid Vienna xG
68%
BTTS
87%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna kick off?
SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna is scheduled to kick off at 16:00 on Saturday 27 February 2027 at Cashpoint-Arena.
Where is SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna being played?
The match is being played at Cashpoint-Arena.
What competition is SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna part of?
SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna is a Regular Season - 22 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna?
Our statistical model gives SCR Altach a 36% chance of winning, Rapid Vienna a 38% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making Rapid Vienna the favourite.
Will both teams score in SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna?
Our model estimates a 68% probability that both SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna will score (BTTS).
Will SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 65%.
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna?
Record (10 meetings): SCR Altach 0W | Draws 2 | Rapid Vienna 8W.
What form are SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna in?
SCR Altach (all comps): 2W-1D-7L in 10 | 0.70 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.80 | L5 L-L-L-L-L. Rapid Vienna (all comps): 7W-0D-3L in 10 | 2.10 PPG | GF 2.50 / GA 1.10 | L5 W-W-L-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from SCR Altach's attack rating (0.92) and Rapid Vienna's defence rating (1.00), the model arrives at 1.66 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Rapid Vienna's attack versus SCR Altach's defence, projects 1.71 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 29/29 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 11.0%. Close behind: 1-2 (8.3%), 2-1 (8.1%). Together the top three scorelines make up 27% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Rapid Vienna Win
36%
2.80
27%
3.75
38%
2.65
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.8%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.3%
Away win
2 – 1
8.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.66
SCR Altach xG
Total xG
3.37
1.71
Rapid Vienna xG
2.80
36%
Home win
3.75
27%
Draw
2.65
38%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
43%
Over 3.5
2.33
57%
Under 3.5
1.75
25%
Over 4.5
4.00
75%
Under 4.5
1.33
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
68%
BTTS Yes
1.47
32%
BTTS No
3.15
Clean Sheet
18%
5.52
19%
5.25
Win to Nil
6%
15.47
7%
13.95
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4 | 5.9 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 5.7 | 9.8 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 8.1 | 6.9 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.0%.
How many goals are SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna expected to score?
The model projects 1.66 expected goals for SCR Altach and 1.71 for Rapid Vienna, a combined total of 3.37.
How confident is the prediction model for SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 38%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
SCR Altach come into this having played 39 games, going 11W 12D 16L for 1.15 points per game. Their last five reads L-L-L-L-L. It's still early in the season for SCR Altach, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, Rapid Vienna sit at 1.51 PPG from 39 outings (17W 8D 14L), a run that reads W-W-L-W-W across their last five. It's still early in the season for Rapid Vienna, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Form-wise this is close to level: SCR Altach on 1.15 PPG, Rapid Vienna on 1.51. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
SCR Altach's home form reads 9W 6D 4L across 19 games on their own ground, a 1.74 PPG return. That's noticeably better than their 1.15 PPG overall — SCR Altach are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
Away from home, Rapid Vienna have taken 1.26 points per game from 19 outings (6W 6D 7L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, SCR Altach come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
SCR Altach are averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game recently; Rapid Vienna are on 1.49 scored and 1.26 conceded.
Last 39 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SCR Altach
Early Season
Rapid Vienna
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna in coming into this match?
SCR Altach have gone 11W 12D 16L in their last 39 games (1.15 PPG), while Rapid Vienna have gone 17W 8D 14L in their last 39 (1.51 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — SCR Altach at home or Rapid Vienna away?
SCR Altach's home record (1.74 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — SCR Altach at home: 1.74 PPG; Rapid Vienna away: 1.26 PPG.
Have SCR Altach or Rapid Vienna been keeping clean sheets recently?
SCR Altach have kept a clean sheet in 26% of their recent games, Rapid Vienna in 31%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to November 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 2 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 1 Mar 2025, when Rapid Vienna won 5-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
SCR Altach's record when hosting Rapid Vienna specifically: 0W 1D 3L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
0
SCR Altach
2
Draws
8
Rapid Vienna
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna?
From 10 meetings on record, SCR Altach have won 0, Rapid Vienna have won 8, and 2 have been drawn.
When did SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna last play each other?
They last met on 2 August 2026, when Rapid Vienna 1-0 SCR Altach.
Who has won more matches between SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna?
Rapid Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 8 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 68% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 32% of the time.
Rapid Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 79% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 32% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 16% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — SCR Altach 63%, Rapid Vienna 63% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 42% (SCR Altach) and 47% (Rapid Vienna).
On the defensive side: SCR Altach keep a clean sheet in 32% of their matches.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SCR Altach home games / Rapid Vienna away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when SCR Altach play Rapid Vienna?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 63% of SCR Altach's games and 63% of Rapid Vienna's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 42% of SCR Altach's recent games and 47% of Rapid Vienna's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna tend to score early?
SCR Altach have had a goal before half-time in 68% of their recent matches, Rapid Vienna in 79% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
The match report will be available once the game has finished.