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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

16:00

Venue

Innviertel Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ried Win

45%

Ried

2.21

24%

Draw

4.12

30%

Grazer AK

3.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Ried xG

Total xG

2.92

1.29

Grazer AK xG

45%
24%
30%
RiedDrawGrazer AK

2.21

45%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

3.29

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

27%

Ried

3.64

20%

Grazer AK

5.09

Win to Nil

12%

Ried

8.04

6%

Grazer AK

16.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 7.0 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 8.8 11.3 7.3 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.2 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 3.9 5.0 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.628
λ Away (xG) 1.292
Total xG 2.920
League avg home goals 1.430
League avg away goals 1.274
Ried attack strength 0.790
Ried defence strength 1.299
Grazer AK attack strength 0.781
Grazer AK defence strength 1.442
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 7 / 29