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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

16:00

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Red Bull Salzburg Win

67%

Red Bull Salzburg

1.48

19%

Draw

5.31

14%

Lask Linz

7.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.32

Red Bull Salzburg xG

Total xG

3.28

0.96

Lask Linz xG

67%
19%
14%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawLask Linz

1.48

67%

Home win

5.31

19%

Draw

7.25

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

38%

Red Bull Salzburg

2.62

10%

Lask Linz

10.16

Win to Nil

26%

Red Bull Salzburg

3.88

1%

Lask Linz

73.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.1
1 8.7 8.4 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 10.1 9.7 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 7.8 7.5 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 4.5 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.2
5 2.1 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.318
λ Away (xG) 0.962
Total xG 3.280
League avg home goals 1.505
League avg away goals 1.219
Red Bull Salzburg attack strength 1.373
Red Bull Salzburg defence strength 0.810
Lask Linz attack strength 0.975
Lask Linz defence strength 1.122
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 25 / 25