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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Rapid Vienna cruise to a comfortable 4-2 victory over Lask Linz.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Rapid Vienna beat Lask Linz 4-2 at Allianz Stadion, Championship Group - 24, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Rapid Vienna 1.33 xG and Lask Linz 1.14 xG, a combined 2.47. The scoreboard read 4-2 for 6 actual goals. Rapid Vienna beat their projection by 2.7 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Lask Linz outscored their 1.14 projection by 0.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Rapid Vienna attack 0.98 / defence 0.86 against Lask Linz attack 1.15 / defence 1.01, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Rapid Vienna 40% | Draw 29% | Lask Linz 31%, with Rapid Vienna to win its most likely call at 40%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 6, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. Over 3.5 was 24% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Rapid Vienna 47%, Lask Linz 56%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Rapid Vienna's trading profile (57 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did.

Lask Linz's trading profile (57 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Rapid Vienna 1.46 PPG, Lask Linz 1.67 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Rapid Vienna win broke the near-deadlock. Rapid Vienna (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.59 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 2 against a 0.93 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Lask Linz (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 1.30 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights