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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Rapid Vienna run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Grazer AK.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Rapid Vienna beat Grazer AK 3-0 at Allianz Stadion, Regular Season - 22, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Rapid Vienna 2.53 xG and Grazer AK 1.18 xG, a combined 3.71. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Grazer AK landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Rapid Vienna attack 1.23 / defence 0.92 against Grazer AK attack 1.06 / defence 1.35, drawn from 43/21 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Rapid Vienna 64% | Draw 22% | Grazer AK 14%, with Rapid Vienna to win its most likely call at 64%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 72%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 91% and landed. Over 3.5 was 51% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 66% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Rapid Vienna 48%, Grazer AK 67%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 69%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Rapid Vienna's trading profile (21 games, 10 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.

Grazer AK's trading profile (21 games, 10 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 76% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Rapid Vienna arrived the stronger side — 1.48 PPG against 0.76. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Rapid Vienna (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.90 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 0.90 average — tighter than their form line. Grazer AK (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.40 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights