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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Lask Linz cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over FC BW Linz.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Lask Linz beat FC BW Linz 2-0 at Raiffeisen Arena, Regular Season - 7, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Lask Linz 1.43 xG and FC BW Linz 1.31 xG, a combined 2.75. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. FC BW Linz landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Lask Linz attack 0.94 / defence 1.14 against FC BW Linz attack 0.88 / defence 1.07, drawn from 28/28 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Lask Linz 40% | Draw 26% | FC BW Linz 34%, with Lask Linz to win its most likely call at 40%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Lask Linz 60%, FC BW Linz 58%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Lask Linz's trading profile (38 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not.

FC BW Linz's trading profile (38 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Lask Linz arrived the stronger side — 1.58 PPG against 1.11. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Lask Linz (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.16 average — tighter than their form line. FC BW Linz (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.89 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights