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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Austria Vienna cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Rapid Vienna.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Austria Vienna beat Rapid Vienna 2-0 at Generali Arena, Regular Season - 19, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Austria Vienna 1.25 xG and Rapid Vienna 1.18 xG, a combined 2.43. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Rapid Vienna landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Austria Vienna attack 0.98 / defence 1.04 against Rapid Vienna attack 0.96 / defence 0.98, drawn from 40/40 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Austria Vienna 38% | Draw 28% | Rapid Vienna 34%, with Austria Vienna to win its most likely call at 38%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 44%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 70% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Austria Vienna 58%, Rapid Vienna 54%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Austria Vienna's trading profile (50 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not.

Rapid Vienna's trading profile (50 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Austria Vienna arrived the stronger side — 1.78 PPG against 1.38. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Austria Vienna (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.16 average — tighter than their form line. Rapid Vienna (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.08 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights