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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Austria Klagenfurt and SCR Altach share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Austria Klagenfurt and SCR Altach finished level at 2-2 at 28 Black Arena, Regular Season - 22, in the Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Austria Klagenfurt 1.95 xG and SCR Altach 1.19 xG, a combined 3.14. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. SCR Altach outscored their 1.19 projection by 0.8. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Austria Klagenfurt attack 0.99 / defence 1.12 against SCR Altach attack 0.88 / defence 1.29, drawn from 43/43 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Austria Klagenfurt 52% | Draw 28% | SCR Altach 20%, with Austria Klagenfurt to win its most likely call at 52%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 61%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 85% and landed. Over 3.5 was 38% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 63% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 48% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Austria Klagenfurt 53%, SCR Altach 43%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 49%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Austria Klagenfurt's trading profile (53 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did.

SCR Altach's trading profile (53 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Austria Klagenfurt 1.11 PPG, SCR Altach 0.87 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. SCR Altach (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.81 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights