Bucheon FC 1995 2-3 FC Anyang – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates FC Anyang at 53%, yet other data sources diverge — this Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A K League 1 encounter, Regular Season - 19 sees FC Anyang travel to Bucheon Stadium to take on Bucheon FC 1995. The game is scheduled for Wednesday 22 July 2026, 11:30 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Bucheon FC 1995 stand at 2W 3D 5L from 10 K League 1 matches — 0.90 PPG. Last five: D W D D L. They are averaging 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.30 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their matches, indicating a tendency toward clean sheets or low-scoring outcomes. This season is still relatively young for Bucheon FC 1995, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Bucheon Stadium, Bucheon FC 1995 have gone 2W 4D 4L this season (10 games, 1.00 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Across all K League 1 games this season, FC Anyang have recorded 3W 5D 2L from 10 outings — 1.40 PPG. Last five: D W L W D. They are scoring at 1.50 per game and conceding 1.20. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for FC Anyang, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, FC Anyang have gone 4W 5D 1L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.70 PPG). Away from home they average 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
The form figures are too closely matched to derive a directional pick: Bucheon FC 1995 0.90 PPG, FC Anyang 1.40 PPG. Look to other data sets to build the analysis.
Head to Head
There is little to separate the sides historically. From 1 previous meetings, Bucheon FC 1995 have won 1, FC Anyang 0, with 0 draws — a balanced ledger that offers no obvious directional steer on its own.
These sides have historically produced few goals — 1.0 per contest from 1 previous meetings. The Under 2.5 market has a well-supported historical case here. The most recent clash, on 2 May 2026, ended 1–0 with Bucheon FC 1995 winning.
With a balanced win record and just 1.0 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
In-Play Data
Bucheon FC 1995 trading profile (20 games, 10 at home): they score before half-time in 40% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 70% of the time; BTTS occurs in 40% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 30% of games (home games); they fail to score in 40% of games.
FC Anyang trading profile (20 games, 10 at away): they score before half-time in 60% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 89% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 56% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 70% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 40% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Bucheon FC 1995 40% versus FC Anyang 70%; no strong lean in either direction. Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Bucheon FC 1995 35% | FC Anyang 35%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Bucheon FC 1995 0.77 xG and FC Anyang 1.53 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Bucheon FC 1995 attack 0.837 / defence 1.133 | FC Anyang attack 1.115 / defence 0.884. League average goals — home 1.034 / away 1.210. Data: 18 Bucheon FC 1995 games / 51 FC Anyang games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Bucheon FC 1995 16% | Draw 31% | FC Anyang 53%. Fair-value odds: Bucheon FC 1995 6.25 | Draw 3.23 | FC Anyang 1.89. FC Anyang hold a narrow Poisson edge at 53% — the draw (31%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 40% | BTTS probability 44% | Total xG 2.29. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 60% — total xG of 2.29 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 44% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, FC Anyang are the pick at 53% — moderate model lean. With a 31% draw probability, Draw No Bet on FC Anyang offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 2.29 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 40% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 2.2 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 44%. Form rates are neutral: Bucheon FC 1995 40% | FC Anyang 70%.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang | Competition: K League 1, Regular Season - 19 | Venue: Bucheon Stadium • Kick-off: Wednesday 22 Jul 2026, 11:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Bucheon FC 1995 16% | Draw 31% | FC Anyang 53% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 40% | BTTS 44% | xG Bucheon FC 1995 0.77 / FC Anyang 1.53 • Poisson strength factors: Bucheon FC 1995 attack 0.837 / def 1.133 | FC Anyang attack 1.115 / def 0.884 | league avg home 1.034 / away 1.210 • Poisson stance: FC Anyang (53%) — moderate lean
🎲 Betting Market Intelligence
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture
🧮 Prediction Model
0.77
Bucheon FC 1995 xG
Expected Goals
1.53
FC Anyang xG
44%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
20%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang kick off?
Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang kicked off at 11:30 on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at Bucheon Stadium.
What was the final score in Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang?
Bucheon FC 1995 2 - 3 FC Anyang.
Where is Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang being played?
The match is being played at Bucheon Stadium.
What competition is Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang part of?
Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang is a Regular Season - 19 fixture in the K League 1 (South-Korea).
Who is favourite to win Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang?
Our statistical model gives Bucheon FC 1995 a 16% chance of winning, FC Anyang a 53% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw — making FC Anyang the favourite.
Will both teams score in Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang?
Our model estimates a 44% probability that both Bucheon FC 1995 and FC Anyang will score (BTTS).
Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 40%.
What is the head-to-head record between Bucheon FC 1995 and FC Anyang?
Record (1 meetings): Bucheon FC 1995 1W | Draws 0 | FC Anyang 0W.
What form are Bucheon FC 1995 and FC Anyang in?
Bucheon FC 1995 (all comps): 2W-3D-5L in 10 | 0.90 PPG | GF 0.70 / GA 1.30 | L5 D-W-D-D-L. FC Anyang (all comps): 3W-5D-2L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.20 | L5 D-W-L-W-D.
What do the betting odds say about Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang?
Odds data is not currently available for this fixture.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Bucheon FC 1995's attacking strength (0.84x league average) is weighed against FC Anyang's defensive record (0.88x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 0.77. The same calculation in reverse, FC Anyang's attack versus Bucheon FC 1995's defence, projects 1.53 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 18/51 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 0-1, at 13.9%. Close behind: 1-1 (13.3%), 0-2 (11.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 39% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
FC Anyang Win
16%
6.14
31%
3.26
53%
1.89
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.4%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 2
11.8%
Away win
1 – 1
11.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.77
Bucheon FC 1995 xG
Total xG
2.29
1.53
FC Anyang xG
6.14
16%
Home win
3.26
31%
Draw
1.89
53%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.26
56%
BTTS No
1.80
Clean Sheet
22%
4.61
47%
2.15
Win to Nil
4%
28.29
25%
4.05
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.1 | 15.4 | 11.8 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 11.8 | 9.0 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang?
Our Poisson model rates 0-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.9%.
How many goals are Bucheon FC 1995 and FC Anyang expected to score?
The model projects 0.77 expected goals for Bucheon FC 1995 and 1.53 for FC Anyang, a combined total of 2.29.
How confident is the prediction model for Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 53%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Bucheon FC 1995 come into this having played 20 games, going 6W 7D 7L for 1.25 points per game. Their last five reads D-W-D-D-L. The sample for Bucheon FC 1995 is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, FC Anyang sit at 1.25 PPG from 20 outings (5W 10D 5L), a run that reads D-W-L-W-D across their last five. The sample for FC Anyang is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: Bucheon FC 1995 on 1.25 PPG, FC Anyang on 1.25. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
Bucheon FC 1995's home form reads 2W 4D 4L across 10 games on their own ground, a 1.00 PPG return.
Away from home, FC Anyang have taken 1.70 points per game from 10 outings (4W 5D 1L). That's actually stronger than their 1.25 PPG overall record — FC Anyang travel well.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, FC Anyang come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
Bucheon FC 1995 are averaging 0.95 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game recently; FC Anyang are on 1.25 scored and 1.15 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: FC Anyang in 70%.
Defensively: Bucheon FC 1995 have kept a clean sheet in 35% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 20 Results — K League 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Bucheon FC 1995
Blended
FC Anyang
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Bucheon FC 1995 and FC Anyang in coming into this match?
Bucheon FC 1995 have gone 6W 7D 7L in their last 20 games (1.25 PPG), while FC Anyang have gone 5W 10D 5L in their last 20 (1.25 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Bucheon FC 1995 at home or FC Anyang away?
FC Anyang's away record (1.70 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Bucheon FC 1995 at home: 1.00 PPG; FC Anyang away: 1.70 PPG.
Have Bucheon FC 1995 or FC Anyang been keeping clean sheets recently?
Bucheon FC 1995 have kept a clean sheet in 35% of their recent games, FC Anyang in 15%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
2 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to May 2026. Every recorded meeting has come in K League 1. The two were last together as recently as 22 July 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Last 2 Meetings
1
Bucheon FC 1995
0
Draws
1
FC Anyang
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Bucheon FC 1995 and FC Anyang?
From 2 meetings on record, Bucheon FC 1995 have won 1, FC Anyang have won 1, and 0 have been drawn.
When did Bucheon FC 1995 and FC Anyang last play each other?
They last met on 22 July 2026, when Bucheon FC 1995 2-3 FC Anyang.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Bucheon FC 1995 see a goal before the break in 40% of their matches.
FC Anyang are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 60% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 40% of the time.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Bucheon FC 1995 40%, FC Anyang 70% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 30% for Bucheon FC 1995 and 40% for FC Anyang.
On the defensive side: Bucheon FC 1995 keep a clean sheet in 40% of their matches; Bucheon FC 1995 have failed to score in 40% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Bucheon FC 1995 home games / FC Anyang away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Bucheon FC 1995 play FC Anyang?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 40% of Bucheon FC 1995's games and 70% of FC Anyang's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Anyang usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 30% of Bucheon FC 1995's recent games and 40% of FC Anyang's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Bucheon FC 1995 and FC Anyang tend to score early?
Bucheon FC 1995 have had a goal before half-time in 40% of their recent matches, FC Anyang in 60% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as FC Anyang edge out Bucheon FC 1995 2-3.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
FC Anyang beat Bucheon FC 1995 2-3 at Bucheon Stadium, Regular Season - 19, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Bucheon FC 1995 0.77 xG and FC Anyang 1.53 xG, a combined 2.29. The scoreboard read 2-3 for 5 actual goals. Bucheon FC 1995 beat their projection by 1.2 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. FC Anyang outscored their 1.53 projection by 1.5. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Bucheon FC 1995 attack 0.84 / defence 1.13 against FC Anyang attack 1.11 / defence 0.88, drawn from 18/51 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Bucheon FC 1995 16% | Draw 31% | FC Anyang 53%, with FC Anyang to win its most likely call at 53%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 69% and landed. Over 3.5 was 20% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 44% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 35% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Bucheon FC 1995 35%, FC Anyang 35%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Bucheon FC 1995's trading profile (20 games, 10 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 40% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and conceded here.
FC Anyang's trading profile (20 games, 10 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 70% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Bucheon FC 1995 1.25 PPG, FC Anyang 1.25 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the FC Anyang win broke the near-deadlock. Bucheon FC 1995 (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.80 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 3 against a 1.10 concession average — a leakier day than usual. FC Anyang (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.50 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 2 against a 1.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.