QPR 1-1 Huddersfield – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates QPR at 44% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as QPR face Huddersfield.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
QPR welcome Huddersfield to MATRADE Loftus Road in Championship (matchday 29). Kick-off is Sunday 28 January 2024 at 13:30 UK time.
Form Guide
QPR — last 10 games: 3W 2D 5L, averaging 1.10 points per game. Last five: L D L L W. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 0.90 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is a standout defensive return — they are keeping their net clean in more than half their matches. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their matches, indicating a tendency toward clean sheets or low-scoring outcomes.
QPR's home record over their last 10 home games: 3W 2D 5L (1.10 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from their last 10 home games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Across their last 10 games, Huddersfield have recorded 1W 5D 4L — 0.80 PPG. Last five: W L L D D. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings (10%). Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — a high rate that makes Yes a well-evidenced angle from their form.
On the road, Huddersfield have gone 1W 4D 5L in their last 10 away fixtures (0.70 PPG). Away from home they average 0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.10 PPG (QPR) versus 0.80 (Huddersfield). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
Head to Head
The H2H picture is flat: the 5 H2H matches we hold have produced 1 wins for QPR, 2 for Huddersfield and 2 draws. Form and model data should carry more weight here.
The 5 H2H matches in our data averaged 2.6 goals per game — a neutral rate that gives no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent of those, on 21 Oct 2023, ended QPR 1–2 Huddersfield — a Huddersfield win.
The head-to-head data offers no strong steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the model and current market pricing should carry more weight for this fixture.
Trading Patterns
QPR in-play and half-time data (last 74 games, 37 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 78% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; of the 15 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 27%; BTTS occurs in 49% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 51% of games (home games); they fail to score in 40% of games.
Huddersfield in-play and half-time data (last 74 games, 37 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 70% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 77% of the time; of the 16 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 38%; of the 26 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 27%; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 49% of games (away games); they fail to score in 34% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — QPR 46% versus Huddersfield 54%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (QPR 47% | Huddersfield 45%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects QPR 1.37 xG and Huddersfield 1.06 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: QPR attack 0.837 / defence 1.060 | Huddersfield attack 0.841 / defence 1.163. League average goals — home 1.411 / away 1.186. Data: built from QPR's last 74 games and Huddersfield's last 74.
Result probabilities: QPR 44% | Draw 28% | Huddersfield 29%. Fair-value odds: QPR 2.29 | Draw 3.60 | Huddersfield 3.51. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 28% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 44% | BTTS Yes probability 49% | Total xG 2.43. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 56% — total xG of 2.43 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS No at 51% is only a slight lean — the model gives both sides a fair chance of scoring, so No isn't a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is QPR at 44% — marginal model lean. With a 28% draw probability, Draw No Bet on QPR offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 29% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.43 combined xG gives a 56% probability to Under 2.5 — a Poisson-only call with no corroboration from form or H2H.
Poisson assigns a 51% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral — both teams scored in: QPR 40% (last 10 home games) | Huddersfield 70% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: QPR vs Huddersfield | Competition: Championship, matchday 29 | Venue: MATRADE Loftus Road • Kick-off: Sunday 28 January 2024 at 13:30 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: QPR 44% | Draw 28% | Huddersfield 29% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 44% (Under 56%) | BTTS Yes 49% (No 51%) | xG QPR 1.37 / Huddersfield 1.06 • Poisson strength factors: QPR attack 0.837 / def 1.060 | Huddersfield attack 0.841 / def 1.163 | league avg home 1.411 / away 1.186 • Poisson stance: QPR (44%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.37
QPR xG
Expected Goals
1.06
Huddersfield xG
49%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
44%
Over 2.5
23%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ QPR vs Huddersfield FAQs
What time does QPR vs Huddersfield kick off?
QPR vs Huddersfield kicked off at 13:30 UK time on Sunday 28 January 2024 at MATRADE Loftus Road.
What was the final score in QPR vs Huddersfield?
QPR 1 - 1 Huddersfield.
Where is QPR vs Huddersfield being played?
The match is being played at MATRADE Loftus Road.
What competition is QPR vs Huddersfield part of?
QPR vs Huddersfield is a Championship fixture (matchday 29) (England).
Who is favourite to win QPR vs Huddersfield?
Our statistical model gives QPR a 44% chance of winning, Huddersfield a 29% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making QPR the favourite.
Will both teams score in QPR vs Huddersfield?
Our model estimates a 49% probability that both QPR and Huddersfield will score, so it leans towards BTTS No (51%).
Will QPR vs Huddersfield have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 44%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (56%).
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
QPR's attacking strength (0.84x league average) is weighed against Huddersfield's defensive record (1.16x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.37. The same calculation in reverse, Huddersfield's attack versus QPR's defence, projects 1.06 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from QPR's last 74 games and Huddersfield's last 74 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.4%. Close behind: 0-0 (10.4%), 1-0 (10.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 35% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
QPR Win
44%
2.29
28%
3.60
29%
3.51
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.1%
Home win
0 – 1
9.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.37
QPR xG
Total xG
2.43
1.06
Huddersfield xG
2.29
44%
Home win
3.60
28%
Draw
3.51
29%
Away win
Goals Markets
70%
Over 1.5
1.43
30%
Under 1.5
3.33
44%
Over 2.5
2.27
56%
Under 2.5
1.79
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.04
51%
BTTS No
1.97
Clean Sheet
35%
2.88
25%
3.95
Win to Nil
15%
6.59
7%
13.86
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8 | 9.3 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.1 | 12.8 | 6.8 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 8.8 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ QPR vs Huddersfield Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for QPR vs Huddersfield?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.4%.
How many goals are QPR and Huddersfield expected to score?
The model projects 1.37 expected goals for QPR and 1.06 for Huddersfield, a combined total of 2.43.
How confident is the prediction model for QPR vs Huddersfield?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 44%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
QPR's recent record stands at 19W 17D 38L from 74 games, a 1.00 PPG return, with L-D-L-L-W in the last five.
Huddersfield, meanwhile, have gone 19W 23D 32L across 74 games — 1.08 PPG, with W-L-L-D-D in their last five.
Form-wise this is close to level: QPR on 1.00 PPG, Huddersfield on 1.08. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
At home specifically, QPR have managed 9W 8D 20L from their last 37 home games — 0.95 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Huddersfield's away record stands at 7W 11D 19L across their last 37 away games, a 0.86 PPG haul.
The Goals Picture
QPR are averaging 0.92 goals scored and 1.49 conceded per game recently; Huddersfield are on 1.01 scored and 1.46 conceded.
Last 74 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
QPR
Current Season
Huddersfield
Current Season
QPR (Home) vs Huddersfield (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
QPR
Current Season
Huddersfield
Current Season
❓ QPR vs Huddersfield Form FAQs
What form are QPR and Huddersfield in coming into this match?
QPR have gone 19W 17D 38L in their last 74 games (1.00 PPG), while Huddersfield have gone 19W 23D 32L in their last 74 (1.08 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — QPR at home or Huddersfield away?
QPR's home record (0.95 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — QPR at home: 0.95 PPG; Huddersfield away: 0.86 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The head-to-head numbers here are drawn from the 6 H2H matches in our data, going back to November 2021. All of them came in Championship. The most recent in our data was on 28 January 2024, some 2 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Digging Into the Numbers
QPR's record when hosting Huddersfield specifically: 1W 1D 1L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 6 Meetings
1
QPR
3
Draws
2
Huddersfield
Recent Meetings
❓ QPR vs Huddersfield H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Huddersfield?
Across the 6 head-to-head matches in our data, QPR have won 1, Huddersfield have won 2, and 3 have been drawn.
When did QPR and Huddersfield last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 28 January 2024: QPR 1-1 Huddersfield.
Who has won more matches between QPR and Huddersfield?
Huddersfield have the better head-to-head record, with 2 wins from the 6 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
QPR are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 78% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 30% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Huddersfield are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 70% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 25% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — QPR 49%, Huddersfield 62% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 51% (QPR) and 49% (Huddersfield).
On the defensive side: QPR have failed to score in 40% of games; Huddersfield in 35%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = QPR home games / Huddersfield away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ QPR vs Huddersfield Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in QPR and Huddersfield matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 49% of QPR's games and 62% of Huddersfield's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are QPR and Huddersfield matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 51% of QPR's recent games and 49% of Huddersfield's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do QPR and Huddersfield matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 78% of QPR's recent matches and 70% of Huddersfield's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
QPR and Huddersfield share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
QPR and Huddersfield finished level at 1-1 at MATRADE Loftus Road, Regular Season - 29, in the Championship. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting QPR 1.37 xG and Huddersfield 1.06 xG, a combined 2.43. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of QPR attack 0.84 / defence 1.06 against Huddersfield attack 0.84 / defence 1.16, drawn from 74/74 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it QPR 44% | Draw 28% | Huddersfield 29%, with QPR to win its most likely call at 44%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 44%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 70% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (QPR 47%, Huddersfield 45%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
QPR's trading profile (74 games, 37 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did.
Huddersfield's trading profile (74 games, 37 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — QPR 1.00 PPG, Huddersfield 1.08 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.
Related fixtures
More Championship fixtures — matchday 29
All Championship fixtures →
More UK football predictions →