Teplice vs Artis – Pre-Match Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Teplice at 41%, yet other data sources diverge — this Teplice vs Artis fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Czech Liga encounter, Regular Season - 12 sees Artis travel to AGC Arena Na Stinadlech to take on Teplice. The game is scheduled for Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Teplice stand at 4W 2D 4L from 10 Czech Liga matches — 1.40 PPG. Last five: W L W D L. Offensively they are averaging 1.50 goals per game, with 1.60 conceded. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for Teplice, so this record blends games from this season and last.
In front of their own supporters this season, Teplice have posted 4W 3D 3L at AGC Arena Na Stinadlech — 1.50 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game.
Artis — All Games: 2W 2D 6L from 10 Czech Liga fixtures this season — 0.80 PPG. Last five: W L L D W. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 2.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.00 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Artis, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Artis's form when playing away from home: 2W 1D 3L across 6 road games this term (1.17 PPG). Away from home they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 67% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Teplice are in the better shape of the two on current Czech Liga data — 0.60 PPG ahead (1.40 vs 0.80). That form margin is the baseline of a sensible selection even before other signals are layered in.
In-Play Data
Teplice trading profile (12 games, 6 at home): they score before half-time in 83% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 33% of games (home games).
Artis trading profile (12 games, 6 at away): they score before half-time in 83% of fixtures in away games; BTTS occurs in 67% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 67% of games (away games); they fail to score in 42% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Teplice 42% versus Artis 58%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Teplice 33% | Artis 75%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Teplice 1.70 xG and Artis 1.55 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Teplice attack 1.078 / defence 1.152 | Artis attack 1.140 / defence 1.182. League average goals — home 1.338 / away 1.183. Data: 41 Teplice games / 10 Artis games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Teplice 41% | Draw 25% | Artis 35%. Fair-value odds: Teplice 2.44 | Draw 4.00 | Artis 2.86. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 25% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 63% | BTTS probability 65% | Total xG 3.26. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 63% — the 3.26 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 65% reflects that both xG figures (1.70 / 1.55) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Teplice as the most likely outcome at 41% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 25% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Teplice offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.26 combined xG gives a 63% probability to Over 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 3.0 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 65% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Teplice 50% | Artis 67% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Teplice vs Artis | Competition: Czech Liga, Regular Season - 12 | Venue: AGC Arena Na Stinadlech • Kick-off: Saturday 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Teplice 41% | Draw 25% | Artis 35% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 63% | BTTS 65% | xG Teplice 1.70 / Artis 1.55 • Poisson strength factors: Teplice attack 1.078 / def 1.152 | Artis attack 1.140 / def 1.182 | league avg home 1.338 / away 1.183 • Poisson stance: Teplice (41%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.70
Teplice xG
Expected Goals
1.55
Artis xG
65%
BTTS
84%
Over 1.5
63%
Over 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Teplice vs Artis kick off?
Teplice vs Artis is scheduled to kick off at 13:00 on Saturday 24 October 2026 at AGC Arena Na Stinadlech.
Where is Teplice vs Artis being played?
The match is being played at AGC Arena Na Stinadlech.
What competition is Teplice vs Artis part of?
Teplice vs Artis is a Regular Season - 12 fixture in the Czech Liga (Czech-Republic).
Who is favourite to win Teplice vs Artis?
Our statistical model gives Teplice a 41% chance of winning, Artis a 35% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making Teplice the favourite.
Will both teams score in Teplice vs Artis?
Our model estimates a 65% probability that both Teplice and Artis will score (BTTS).
Will Teplice vs Artis have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 63%.
What is the head-to-head record between Teplice and Artis?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Teplice and Artis in?
Teplice (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.60 | L5 W-L-W-D-L. Artis (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 2.00 | L5 W-L-L-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates Teplice's attack at 1.08x the league average against Artis's defence at 1.18x — combine the two and it projects 1.70 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Artis's attack versus Teplice's defence, projects 1.55 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 41/10 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 11.5% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (8.7%), 1-2 (7.9%). Together the top three scorelines make up 28% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Teplice Win
41%
2.44
25%
4.07
35%
2.90
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.2%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.7%
Home win
1 – 2
7.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.70
Teplice xG
Total xG
3.26
1.55
Artis xG
2.44
41%
Home win
4.07
25%
Draw
2.90
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
41%
Over 3.5
2.44
59%
Under 3.5
1.69
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.53
35%
BTTS No
2.88
Clean Sheet
21%
4.73
18%
5.50
Win to Nil
9%
11.57
6%
15.91
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.8 | 6.0 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 10.2 | 7.9 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.6 | 8.7 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Teplice vs Artis?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.5%.
How many goals are Teplice and Artis expected to score?
The model projects 1.70 expected goals for Teplice and 1.55 for Artis, a combined total of 3.26.
How confident is the prediction model for Teplice vs Artis?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 41%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 12 outings, Teplice have picked up 1.67 PPG on a 6W 2D 4L record — W-L-W-D-L across the most recent five. The sample for Teplice is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Artis's form line: 2W 2D 8L from 12 games, 0.67 PPG, last five W-L-L-D-W. The sample for Artis is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Put side by side, Teplice are the form team by 1.00 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Artis.
Home Ground vs the Road
On home soil, Teplice have posted 1.33 PPG from 6 outings (2W 2D 2L).
On the road, Artis have gone 2W 1D 3L from 6 away games — 1.17 PPG when travelling. That's actually stronger than their 0.67 PPG overall record — Artis travel well.
The Goals Picture
Teplice are averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game recently; Artis are on 1.00 scored and 2.25 conceded.
Last 12 Results — Czech Liga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Teplice
Blended
Artis
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Teplice and Artis in coming into this match?
Teplice have gone 6W 2D 4L in their last 12 games (1.67 PPG), while Artis have gone 2W 2D 8L in their last 12 (0.67 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Teplice at home or Artis away?
Teplice's home record (1.33 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Teplice at home: 1.33 PPG; Artis away: 1.17 PPG.
Have Teplice or Artis been keeping clean sheets recently?
Teplice have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their recent games, Artis in 8%.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Teplice are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 83% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 33% of those situations.
Artis are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 83% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 17% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Teplice 50%, Artis 67% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 33% (Teplice) and 67% (Artis).
On the defensive side: Teplice have failed to score in 33% of games; Artis in 33%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Teplice home games / Artis away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Teplice play Artis?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 50% of Teplice's games and 67% of Artis's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Teplice vs Artis usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 33% of Teplice's recent games and 67% of Artis's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Teplice and Artis tend to score early?
Teplice have had a goal before half-time in 83% of their recent matches, Artis in 83% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
The match report will be available once the game has finished.