Bohemians 1905 vs Artis – Pre-Match Analysis
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Poisson rates Bohemians 1905 at 43% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Bohemians 1905 vs Artis encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Bohemians 1905 host Artis at Dolicek in Czech Liga, Regular Season - 25. Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday 13 March 2027 at 14:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Bohemians 1905 stand at 4W 3D 3L from 10 Czech Liga matches — 1.50 PPG. Last five: D W D D L. They are averaging 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.30 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. Bohemians 1905 have played only a handful of Czech Liga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Bohemians 1905's form when playing at home: 3W 3D 4L across 10 games at Dolicek this term (1.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Across all Czech Liga games this season, Artis have recorded 1W 1D 7L from 9 outings — 0.44 PPG. Last five: L L L W L. Their scoring rate of 0.78 per game is modest, conceding 2.56 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.56 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. Artis have played only a handful of Czech Liga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Artis's away record: 1W 1D 2L from 4 road trips in Czech Liga this season (1.00 PPG). Away from home they average 0.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their away PPG of 1.00 exceeds their overall 0.44 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
On current form, Bohemians 1905 have the edge — a 1.06 PPG advantage (1.50 vs 0.44) represents a meaningful gap. That momentum makes them the form-based pick, though if the outright price looks short, Draw No Bet is worth comparing.
In-Play Profile
Bohemians 1905 in-play tendencies (9 games, 4 at home): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures in home games; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 25% of games (home games).
Artis in-play tendencies (9 games, 4 at away): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures in away games; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (away games); they fail to score in 44% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Bohemians 1905 56% versus Artis 56%; no strong lean in either direction. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (Bohemians 1905 56% | Artis 78%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Bohemians 1905 1.23 xG and Artis 0.91 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Bohemians 1905 attack 0.825 / defence 0.857 | Artis attack 0.828 / defence 1.055. League average goals — home 1.409 / away 1.288. Data: 36 Bohemians 1905 games / 7 Artis games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Bohemians 1905 43% | Draw 30% | Artis 27%. Fair-value odds: Bohemians 1905 2.33 | Draw 3.33 | Artis 3.70. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 30% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 36% | BTTS probability 43% | Total xG 2.14. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 64% — total xG of 2.14 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 43% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Bohemians 1905 at 43% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 30% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Bohemians 1905 offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.14 combined xG gives a 36% probability to Under 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 2.1 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 43% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Bohemians 1905 40% | Artis 50% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Bohemians 1905 vs Artis | Competition: Czech Liga, Regular Season - 25 | Venue: Dolicek • Kick-off: Saturday 13 Mar 2027, 14:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Bohemians 1905 43% | Draw 30% | Artis 27% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 36% | BTTS 43% | xG Bohemians 1905 1.23 / Artis 0.91 • Poisson strength factors: Bohemians 1905 attack 0.825 / def 0.857 | Artis attack 0.828 / def 1.055 | league avg home 1.409 / away 1.288 • Poisson stance: Bohemians 1905 (43%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.23
Bohemians 1905 xG
Expected Goals
0.91
Artis xG
43%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
17%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Bohemians 1905 vs Artis kick off?
Bohemians 1905 vs Artis is scheduled to kick off at 14:00 on Saturday 13 March 2027 at Dolicek.
Where is Bohemians 1905 vs Artis being played?
The match is being played at Dolicek.
What competition is Bohemians 1905 vs Artis part of?
Bohemians 1905 vs Artis is a Regular Season - 25 fixture in the Czech Liga (Czech-Republic).
Who is favourite to win Bohemians 1905 vs Artis?
Our statistical model gives Bohemians 1905 a 43% chance of winning, Artis a 27% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Bohemians 1905 the favourite.
Will both teams score in Bohemians 1905 vs Artis?
Our model estimates a 43% probability that both Bohemians 1905 and Artis will score (BTTS).
Will Bohemians 1905 vs Artis have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 36%.
What is the head-to-head record between Bohemians 1905 and Artis?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Bohemians 1905 and Artis in?
Bohemians 1905 (all comps): 4W-3D-3L in 10 | 1.50 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.30 | L5 D-W-D-D-L. Artis (all comps): 1W-1D-7L in 9 | 0.44 PPG | GF 0.78 / GA 2.56 | L5 L-L-L-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates Bohemians 1905's attack at 0.82x the league average against Artis's defence at 1.05x — combine the two and it projects 1.23 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Artis's attack versus Bohemians 1905's defence, projects 0.91 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 36/7 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.9% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (13.5%), 1-0 (12.7%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 41% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Bohemians 1905 Win
43%
2.34
30%
3.30
27%
3.72
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
0 – 0
11.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.23
Bohemians 1905 xG
Total xG
2.14
0.91
Artis xG
2.34
43%
Home win
3.30
30%
Draw
3.72
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.33
57%
BTTS No
1.75
Clean Sheet
40%
2.49
29%
3.41
Win to Nil
17%
5.83
8%
12.67
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.8 | 10.8 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.4 | 13.2 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 8.1 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Bohemians 1905 vs Artis?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.9%.
How many goals are Bohemians 1905 and Artis expected to score?
The model projects 1.23 expected goals for Bohemians 1905 and 0.91 for Artis, a combined total of 2.14.
How confident is the prediction model for Bohemians 1905 vs Artis?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 43%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Bohemians 1905's recent record stands at 3W 3D 3L from 9 games, a 1.33 PPG return, with D-W-D-D-L in the last five. It's still early in the season for Bohemians 1905, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Artis, meanwhile, have gone 1W 1D 7L across 9 games — 0.44 PPG, with L-L-L-W-L in their last five. It's still early in the season for Artis, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
The points-per-game comparison favours Bohemians 1905 by 0.89 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Artis heading into this one.
Venue Form
At home specifically, Bohemians 1905 have managed 1W 2D 1L from 4 games — 1.25 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Artis's away record stands at 1W 1D 2L across 4 trips, a 1.00 PPG haul. That's actually stronger than their 0.44 PPG overall record — Artis travel well.
Goals in Recent Form
Bohemians 1905 are averaging 1.22 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game recently; Artis are on 0.78 scored and 2.56 conceded.
Last 9 Results — Czech Liga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Bohemians 1905
Early Season
Artis
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Bohemians 1905 and Artis in coming into this match?
Bohemians 1905 have gone 3W 3D 3L in their last 9 games (1.33 PPG), while Artis have gone 1W 1D 7L in their last 9 (0.44 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Bohemians 1905 at home or Artis away?
Bohemians 1905's home record (1.25 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Bohemians 1905 at home: 1.25 PPG; Artis away: 1.00 PPG.
Have Bohemians 1905 or Artis been keeping clean sheets recently?
Bohemians 1905 have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their recent games, Artis in 0%.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Bohemians 1905 see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 25% of those situations.
Artis are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 25% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Bohemians 1905 50%, Artis 50% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 25% (Bohemians 1905) and 50% (Artis).
On the defensive side: Bohemians 1905 keep a clean sheet in 50% of their matches; Artis in 50%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Bohemians 1905 home games / Artis away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Bohemians 1905 play Artis?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 50% of Bohemians 1905's recent matches and 50% of Artis's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Bohemians 1905 vs Artis usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 25% of Bohemians 1905's recent games and 50% of Artis's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Bohemians 1905 and Artis tend to score early?
Bohemians 1905 have had a goal before half-time in 50% of their recent matches, Artis in 75% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
The match report will be available once the game has finished.