WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna – Pre-Match Analysis
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Poisson model favours Rapid Vienna (53%) — form and H2H data both point in the same direction as WSG Wattens face Rapid Vienna.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
WSG Wattens host Rapid Vienna at Tivoli Stadion Tirol in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 19. Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday 6 February 2027 at 16:00 UTC.
Form Guide
WSG Wattens — All Games: 3W 2D 5L from 10 Bundesliga outings this season, averaging 1.10 points per game. Last five: L L W D L. They are averaging 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.60 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for WSG Wattens, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, WSG Wattens have gone 2W 5D 3L this season (10 games, 1.10 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Rapid Vienna stand at 9W 0D 1L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 2.70 PPG. Last five: W W W W W. Their attacking form is sharp — 3.60 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. Defensively, 0.80 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 6 clean sheets from 10 games (60%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. This season is still relatively young for Rapid Vienna, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Rapid Vienna away from home this season: 4W 2D 4L from 10 away games — 1.40 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context. Their away PPG of 1.40 is notably below their overall 2.70 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour Rapid Vienna — 1.60 PPG ahead of the hosts (2.70 vs 1.10). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. WSG Wattens register both teams scoring in 80% of relevant matches, Rapid Vienna in 60% (using home/away splits) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
H2H Record
Rapid Vienna have tended to come out on top in this fixture, winning 7 of the last 10 encounters against WSG Wattens's 0 victories.
The 10 previous meetings have averaged 2.6 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 18 Sep 2026, ended 0–3 with Rapid Vienna winning.
It is worth noting that Rapid Vienna have a superior record in this fixture despite their visitor status — 7 wins from 10 meetings. Home advantage alone is not a sufficient reason to dismiss that track record.
In-Play Data
WSG Wattens trading profile (43 games, 21 at home): they score before half-time in 90% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 57% of the time; BTTS occurs in 71% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (home games).
Rapid Vienna trading profile (43 games, 21 at away): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 43% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — WSG Wattens 58% versus Rapid Vienna 51%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (WSG Wattens 54% | Rapid Vienna 51%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects WSG Wattens 1.04 xG and Rapid Vienna 1.84 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: WSG Wattens attack 0.782 / defence 1.103 | Rapid Vienna attack 1.212 / defence 0.772. League average goals — home 1.732 / away 1.378. WSG Wattens's attack strength of 0.782 is below the league average — the 1.04 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Rapid Vienna's defence strength of 0.772 is below average — they are conceding at a rate that inflates the home xG figure. Rapid Vienna have an above-average attack strength of 1.212 — the away xG of 1.84 is driven by genuine attacking quality on the road. Data: 33 WSG Wattens games / 33 Rapid Vienna games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: WSG Wattens 18% | Draw 29% | Rapid Vienna 53%. Fair-value odds: WSG Wattens 5.56 | Draw 3.45 | Rapid Vienna 1.89. Rapid Vienna hold a narrow Poisson edge at 53% — the draw (29%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 55% | BTTS probability 58% | Total xG 2.89. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 55% — the 2.89 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS probability of 58% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Rapid Vienna are the pick at 53% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 29% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Rapid Vienna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 2.89 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 55% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 3.1 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 58%. Form rates corroborate: WSG Wattens 80% | Rapid Vienna 60% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 19 | Venue: Tivoli Stadion Tirol • Kick-off: Saturday 6 Feb 2027, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: WSG Wattens 18% | Draw 29% | Rapid Vienna 53% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 55% | BTTS 58% | xG WSG Wattens 1.04 / Rapid Vienna 1.84 • Poisson strength factors: WSG Wattens attack 0.782 / def 1.103 | Rapid Vienna attack 1.212 / def 0.772 | league avg home 1.732 / away 1.378 • Poisson stance: Rapid Vienna (53%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.04
WSG Wattens xG
Expected Goals
1.84
Rapid Vienna xG
58%
BTTS
82%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna kick off?
WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna is scheduled to kick off at 16:00 on Saturday 6 February 2027 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
Where is WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna being played?
The match is being played at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What competition is WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna part of?
WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna is a Regular Season - 19 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Our statistical model gives WSG Wattens a 18% chance of winning, Rapid Vienna a 53% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Rapid Vienna the favourite.
Will both teams score in WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Our model estimates a 58% probability that both WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna will score (BTTS).
Will WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 55%.
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna?
Record (10 meetings): WSG Wattens 0W | Draws 3 | Rapid Vienna 7W.
What form are WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna in?
WSG Wattens (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.60 | L5 L-L-W-D-L. Rapid Vienna (all comps): 9W-0D-1L in 10 | 2.70 PPG | GF 3.60 / GA 0.80 | L5 W-W-W-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from WSG Wattens's attack rating (0.78) and Rapid Vienna's defence rating (0.77), the model arrives at 1.04 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Rapid Vienna's attack versus WSG Wattens's defence, projects 1.84 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 33/33 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 12.1%. Close behind: 1-2 (9.9%), 0-2 (9.5%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Rapid Vienna Win
18%
5.54
29%
3.43
53%
1.89
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.7%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.3%
Away win
1 – 2
9.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.04
WSG Wattens xG
Total xG
2.89
1.84
Rapid Vienna xG
5.54
18%
Home win
3.43
29%
Draw
1.89
53%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.73
42%
BTTS No
2.37
Clean Sheet
16%
6.30
35%
2.84
Win to Nil
3%
34.94
19%
5.39
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 10.3 | 9.5 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 5.8 | 10.7 | 9.9 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 3.0 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.1%.
How many goals are WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna expected to score?
The model projects 1.04 expected goals for WSG Wattens and 1.84 for Rapid Vienna, a combined total of 2.89.
How confident is the prediction model for WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 53%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 43 outings, WSG Wattens have picked up 1.21 PPG on a 13W 13D 17L record — L-L-W-D-L across the most recent five. The sample for WSG Wattens is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Rapid Vienna's form line: 22W 7D 14L from 43 games, 1.70 PPG, last five W-W-W-W-W. The sample for Rapid Vienna is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Put side by side, Rapid Vienna are the form team by 0.49 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against WSG Wattens.
Venue Form
On home soil, WSG Wattens have posted 1.38 PPG from 21 outings (7W 8D 6L).
On the road, Rapid Vienna have gone 8W 6D 7L from 21 away games — 1.43 PPG when travelling.
Goals in Recent Form
WSG Wattens are averaging 1.26 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game recently; Rapid Vienna are on 1.77 scored and 1.19 conceded.
Last 43 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
WSG Wattens
Blended
Rapid Vienna
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna in coming into this match?
WSG Wattens have gone 13W 13D 17L in their last 43 games (1.21 PPG), while Rapid Vienna have gone 22W 7D 14L in their last 43 (1.70 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — WSG Wattens at home or Rapid Vienna away?
Rapid Vienna's away record (1.43 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — WSG Wattens at home: 1.38 PPG; Rapid Vienna away: 1.43 PPG.
Have WSG Wattens or Rapid Vienna been keeping clean sheets recently?
WSG Wattens have kept a clean sheet in 23% of their recent games, Rapid Vienna in 33%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to May 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 18 September 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 1 Oct 2022, when Rapid Vienna won 0-5 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
WSG Wattens's record when hosting Rapid Vienna specifically: 0W 2D 2L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
0
WSG Wattens
3
Draws
7
Rapid Vienna
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna?
From 10 meetings on record, WSG Wattens have won 0, Rapid Vienna have won 7, and 3 have been drawn.
When did WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna last play each other?
They last met on 18 September 2026, when Rapid Vienna 3-0 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna?
Rapid Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 90% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 24% of those situations.
Rapid Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 14% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — WSG Wattens 71%, Rapid Vienna 57% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 52% (WSG Wattens) and 43% (Rapid Vienna).
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = WSG Wattens home games / Rapid Vienna away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when WSG Wattens play Rapid Vienna?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 71% of WSG Wattens's games and 57% of Rapid Vienna's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 52% of WSG Wattens's recent games and 43% of Rapid Vienna's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do WSG Wattens and Rapid Vienna tend to score early?
WSG Wattens have had a goal before half-time in 90% of their recent matches, Rapid Vienna in 71% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
The match report will be available once the game has finished.