WSG Wattens 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates WSG Wattens at 47% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this WSG Wattens vs Austria Klagenfurt encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 4 sees Austria Klagenfurt travel to Tivoli Stadion Tirol to take on WSG Wattens. The game is scheduled for Saturday 24 August 2024, 16:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Bundesliga games this season, WSG Wattens have gone 3W 2D 5L from 10 outings — a 1.10 PPG return. Last five: L L W D L. They are averaging 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.40 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. WSG Wattens have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
WSG Wattens at Tivoli Stadion Tirol this season: 3W 3D 4L from 10 home games — 1.20 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 0.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground. At home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle.
Austria Klagenfurt — All Games: 1W 2D 7L from 10 Bundesliga fixtures this season — 0.50 PPG. Last five: L L L D L. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 2.30 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.30 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. Austria Klagenfurt have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Austria Klagenfurt's form when playing away from home: 2W 2D 6L across 10 road games this term (0.80 PPG). Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game.
WSG Wattens carry the stronger recent momentum — 0.60 PPG ahead of their opponents on 1.10 vs 0.50. The form data is a point in their favour, and where the price allows, it is the cleaner directional bet.
H2H
The previous 6 encounters between these sides heavily favour Austria Klagenfurt, who boast 4 victories compared to 1 for WSG Wattens.
The 6 previous encounters between these sides have been high-scoring affairs — 3.0 goals per contest on average. Historical precedent backs the Over 2.5 goals market. The most recent clash, on 28 Oct 2023, ended 0–1 with Austria Klagenfurt winning.
The H2H provides genuine backing for the away side. Austria Klagenfurt have won 4 of 6 previous encounters, and at 3.0 goals per game, the goals market also points upward. The away win and Over 2.5 combination has a historical case worth noting.
In-Play Profile
WSG Wattens in-play tendencies (35 games, 17 at home): they score before half-time in 65% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 70% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 47% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 35% of games (home games); they fail to score in 49% of games.
Austria Klagenfurt in-play tendencies (35 games, 17 at away): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 47% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 53% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 43%; they fail to score in 31% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — WSG Wattens 46% versus Austria Klagenfurt 51%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (WSG Wattens 46% | Austria Klagenfurt 49%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects WSG Wattens 1.43 xG and Austria Klagenfurt 0.96 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: WSG Wattens attack 0.782 / defence 0.940 | Austria Klagenfurt attack 1.003 / defence 1.204. League average goals — home 1.516 / away 1.014. WSG Wattens's attack strength of 0.782 is below the league average — the 1.43 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Austria Klagenfurt bring a strong defensive rating of 1.204 — this is suppressing WSG Wattens's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 25 WSG Wattens games / 25 Austria Klagenfurt games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: WSG Wattens 47% | Draw 29% | Austria Klagenfurt 24%. Fair-value odds: WSG Wattens 2.13 | Draw 3.45 | Austria Klagenfurt 4.17. WSG Wattens hold a narrow Poisson edge at 47% — the draw (29%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 43% | BTTS probability 48% | Total xG 2.38. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 57% — total xG of 2.38 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 48% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
Austria Klagenfurt lead the H2H ledger, but WSG Wattens carry stronger current form — do not let history alone dictate your assessment.
On the Poisson output, WSG Wattens are the pick at 47% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 29% draw probability, Draw No Bet on WSG Wattens offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 2.38 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 43% probability — marginal — conflicting signals conviction, supported by form averaging 2.1 goals per game — though H2H averaging only 3.0 goals per meeting points in the other direction.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 48%. Form rates corroborate: WSG Wattens 30% | Austria Klagenfurt 50% BTTS from recent games.
The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (25 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: WSG Wattens vs Austria Klagenfurt | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 4 | Venue: Tivoli Stadion Tirol • Kick-off: Saturday 24 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: WSG Wattens 47% | Draw 29% | Austria Klagenfurt 24% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 43% | BTTS 48% | xG WSG Wattens 1.43 / Austria Klagenfurt 0.96 • Poisson strength factors: WSG Wattens attack 0.782 / def 0.940 | Austria Klagenfurt attack 1.003 / def 1.204 | league avg home 1.516 / away 1.014 • Poisson stance: WSG Wattens (47%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.43
WSG Wattens xG
Expected Goals
0.96
Austria Klagenfurt xG
48%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
43%
Over 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does WSG Wattens vs Austria Klagenfurt kick off?
WSG Wattens vs Austria Klagenfurt kicked off at 16:00 on Saturday 24 August 2024 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What was the final score in WSG Wattens vs Austria Klagenfurt?
WSG Wattens 0 - 1 Austria Klagenfurt.
Where is WSG Wattens vs Austria Klagenfurt being played?
The match is being played at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
What competition is WSG Wattens vs Austria Klagenfurt part of?
WSG Wattens vs Austria Klagenfurt is a Regular Season - 4 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win WSG Wattens vs Austria Klagenfurt?
Our statistical model gives WSG Wattens a 47% chance of winning, Austria Klagenfurt a 24% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making WSG Wattens the favourite.
Will both teams score in WSG Wattens vs Austria Klagenfurt?
Our model estimates a 48% probability that both WSG Wattens and Austria Klagenfurt will score (BTTS).
Will WSG Wattens vs Austria Klagenfurt have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 43%.
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and Austria Klagenfurt?
Record (6 meetings): WSG Wattens 1W | Draws 1 | Austria Klagenfurt 4W.
What form are WSG Wattens and Austria Klagenfurt in?
WSG Wattens (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-L-W-D-L. Austria Klagenfurt (all comps): 1W-2D-7L in 10 | 0.50 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 2.30 | L5 L-L-L-D-L.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates WSG Wattens's attack at 0.78x the league average against Austria Klagenfurt's defence at 1.20x — combine the two and it projects 1.43 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Austria Klagenfurt's attack versus WSG Wattens's defence, projects 0.96 expected goals for the visitors.
The sample (25/25 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.2% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-0 (11.5%), 0-0 (10.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 37% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
WSG Wattens Win
47%
2.13
29%
3.48
24%
4.12
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
2 – 0
9.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.43
WSG Wattens xG
Total xG
2.38
0.96
Austria Klagenfurt xG
2.13
47%
Home win
3.48
29%
Draw
4.12
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.10
52%
BTTS No
1.91
Clean Sheet
38%
2.60
24%
4.17
Win to Nil
18%
5.53
6%
17.18
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.2 | 8.8 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.2 | 12.6 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.4 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for WSG Wattens vs Austria Klagenfurt?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.2%.
How many goals are WSG Wattens and Austria Klagenfurt expected to score?
The model projects 1.43 expected goals for WSG Wattens and 0.96 for Austria Klagenfurt, a combined total of 2.38.
How confident is the prediction model for WSG Wattens vs Austria Klagenfurt?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 47%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
WSG Wattens come into this having played 35 games, going 8W 6D 21L for 0.86 points per game. Their last five reads L-L-W-D-L. It's still early in the season for WSG Wattens, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, Austria Klagenfurt sit at 1.14 PPG from 35 outings (9W 13D 13L), a run that reads L-L-L-D-L across their last five. It's still early in the season for Austria Klagenfurt, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Form-wise this is close to level: WSG Wattens on 0.86 PPG, Austria Klagenfurt on 1.14. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
WSG Wattens's home form reads 4W 4D 9L across 17 games on their own ground, a 0.94 PPG return.
Away from home, Austria Klagenfurt have taken 1.18 points per game from 17 outings (5W 5D 7L).
Goals in Recent Form
WSG Wattens are averaging 0.89 goals scored and 1.66 conceded per game recently; Austria Klagenfurt are on 1.20 scored and 1.63 conceded.
Last 35 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
WSG Wattens
Early Season
Austria Klagenfurt
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are WSG Wattens and Austria Klagenfurt in coming into this match?
WSG Wattens have gone 8W 6D 21L in their last 35 games (0.86 PPG), while Austria Klagenfurt have gone 9W 13D 13L in their last 35 (1.14 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — WSG Wattens at home or Austria Klagenfurt away?
Austria Klagenfurt's away record (1.18 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — WSG Wattens at home: 0.94 PPG; Austria Klagenfurt away: 1.18 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to August 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. It has been a while since the last meeting — 10 May 2025, some 3 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Streaks & Records
WSG Wattens have won the last 3 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 1 Dec 2024, when WSG Wattens won 0-3 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
WSG Wattens's record when hosting Austria Klagenfurt specifically: 1W 1D 3L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
4
WSG Wattens
1
Draws
5
Austria Klagenfurt
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between WSG Wattens and Austria Klagenfurt?
From 10 meetings on record, WSG Wattens have won 4, Austria Klagenfurt have won 5, and 1 have been drawn.
When did WSG Wattens and Austria Klagenfurt last play each other?
They last met on 10 May 2025, when Austria Klagenfurt 1-4 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between WSG Wattens and Austria Klagenfurt?
Austria Klagenfurt have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 65% of their matches.
Austria Klagenfurt are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — WSG Wattens 47%, Austria Klagenfurt 47% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 35% (WSG Wattens) and 53% (Austria Klagenfurt).
On the defensive side: WSG Wattens have failed to score in 41% of games; Austria Klagenfurt in 35%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = WSG Wattens home games / Austria Klagenfurt away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when WSG Wattens play Austria Klagenfurt?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 47% of WSG Wattens's recent matches and 47% of Austria Klagenfurt's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is WSG Wattens vs Austria Klagenfurt usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 35% of WSG Wattens's recent games and 53% of Austria Klagenfurt's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do WSG Wattens and Austria Klagenfurt tend to score early?
WSG Wattens have had a goal before half-time in 65% of their recent matches, Austria Klagenfurt in 71% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Shock result as Austria Klagenfurt defy the odds to beat WSG Wattens 0-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Austria Klagenfurt beat WSG Wattens 0-1 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Regular Season - 4, in the Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting WSG Wattens 1.43 xG and Austria Klagenfurt 0.96 xG, a combined 2.38. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. WSG Wattens fell 1.4 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of WSG Wattens attack 0.78 / defence 0.94 against Austria Klagenfurt attack 1.00 / defence 1.20, drawn from 25/25 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it WSG Wattens 47% | Draw 29% | Austria Klagenfurt 24%, with WSG Wattens to win its most likely call at 47%. Instead the game produced a Austria Klagenfurt win, an outcome the model had rated at just 24% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 70% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (WSG Wattens 46%, Austria Klagenfurt 49%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 49%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
WSG Wattens's trading profile (35 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 49% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Austria Klagenfurt's trading profile (35 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — WSG Wattens 0.86 PPG, Austria Klagenfurt 1.14 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Austria Klagenfurt win broke the near-deadlock. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward. Austria Klagenfurt (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.59 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.