Rapid Vienna 0-0 SCR Altach – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Rapid Vienna at 42% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 3 sees SCR Altach travel to Allianz Stadion to take on Rapid Vienna. The game is scheduled for Sunday 17 August 2025, 16:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Rapid Vienna stand at 5W 1D 4L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 1.60 PPG. Last five: L L W W W. Offensively they are averaging 1.50 goals per game, with 1.30 conceded. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. Rapid Vienna have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
At home at Allianz Stadion, Rapid Vienna have gone 6W 1D 3L this season (10 games, 1.90 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 clean sheets from 10 home games (60%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Allianz Stadion. At home, both teams have scored in only 20% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle.
SCR Altach — All Games: 3W 4D 3L from 10 Bundesliga fixtures this season — 1.30 PPG. Last five: D D D W W. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 0.70 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Defensively, 0.70 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. Both teams have scored in only 20% of their fixtures — a very low rate that strongly backs BTTS No. SCR Altach have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
SCR Altach's away record: 3W 2D 5L from 10 road trips in Bundesliga this season (1.10 PPG). Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
The form figures are too closely matched to derive a directional pick: Rapid Vienna 1.60 PPG, SCR Altach 1.30 PPG. Look to other data sets to build the analysis.
On the goals front, neither side scores or concedes freely enough to make BTTS Yes the call. Rapid Vienna's 20% rate and SCR Altach's 30% (using home/away splits) both sit well below average — BTTS No is the form-backed angle.
H2H Record
The fixture history tells a clear story: Rapid Vienna have dominated this rivalry, winning 7 of 7 past contests while SCR Altach have managed just 0 wins.
The 7 previous meetings have averaged 2.4 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 1 Mar 2025, ended 5–0 with Rapid Vienna winning.
The historical record gives Rapid Vienna a meaningful edge here — 7 wins from 7 meetings is the kind of ledger that should not be discounted when the form picture is inconclusive. Even away from home, the visitors have struggled to impose themselves in this fixture.
In-Play Profile
Rapid Vienna in-play tendencies (34 games, 17 at home): they score before half-time in 82% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 35% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 47% of games (home games).
SCR Altach in-play tendencies (34 games, 17 at away): they score before half-time in 53% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 41% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 47% of games (away games); they fail to score in 41% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Rapid Vienna 56% versus SCR Altach 47%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Rapid Vienna 56% | SCR Altach 41%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Rapid Vienna 1.37 xG and SCR Altach 1.15 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Rapid Vienna attack 1.030 / defence 0.814 | SCR Altach attack 1.061 / defence 0.915. League average goals — home 1.457 / away 1.330. Data: 24 Rapid Vienna games / 24 SCR Altach games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: Rapid Vienna 42% | Draw 27% | SCR Altach 31%. Fair-value odds: Rapid Vienna 2.38 | Draw 3.70 | SCR Altach 3.23. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 27% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 46% | BTTS probability 51% | Total xG 2.52. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 46%/54% — the total xG of 2.52 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 51% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Rapid Vienna as the most likely outcome at 42% — marginal model lean. With a 27% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Rapid Vienna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.52 combined xG gives a 46% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 51% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. This conflicts with form data: Rapid Vienna 20% | SCR Altach 30% from recent games — a notable divergence.
The outsider holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects. The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (24 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 3 | Venue: Allianz Stadion • Kick-off: Sunday 17 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Rapid Vienna 42% | Draw 27% | SCR Altach 31% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 46% | BTTS 51% | xG Rapid Vienna 1.37 / SCR Altach 1.15 • Poisson strength factors: Rapid Vienna attack 1.030 / def 0.814 | SCR Altach attack 1.061 / def 0.915 | league avg home 1.457 / away 1.330 • Poisson stance: Rapid Vienna (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.37
Rapid Vienna xG
Expected Goals
1.15
SCR Altach xG
51%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
46%
Over 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach kick off?
Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach kicked off at 16:00 on Sunday 17 August 2025 at Allianz Stadion.
What was the final score in Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Rapid Vienna 0 - 0 SCR Altach.
Where is Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach being played?
The match is being played at Allianz Stadion.
What competition is Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach part of?
Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach is a Regular Season - 3 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Our statistical model gives Rapid Vienna a 42% chance of winning, SCR Altach a 31% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making Rapid Vienna the favourite.
Will both teams score in Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Our model estimates a 51% probability that both Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach will score (BTTS).
Will Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 46%.
What is the head-to-head record between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach?
Record (7 meetings): Rapid Vienna 7W | Draws 0 | SCR Altach 0W.
What form are Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach in?
Rapid Vienna (all comps): 5W-1D-4L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.30 | L5 L-L-W-W-W. SCR Altach (all comps): 3W-4D-3L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 0.70 | L5 D-D-D-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Rapid Vienna's attacking strength (1.03x league average) is weighed against SCR Altach's defensive record (0.92x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.37. The same calculation in reverse, SCR Altach's attack versus Rapid Vienna's defence, projects 1.15 expected goals for the visitors.
The sample (24/24 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.3%. Close behind: 0-0 (9.7%), 1-0 (9.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 33% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Rapid Vienna Win
42%
2.38
27%
3.75
31%
3.19
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.0%
Home win
0 – 1
9.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.37
Rapid Vienna xG
Total xG
2.52
1.15
SCR Altach xG
2.38
42%
Home win
3.75
27%
Draw
3.19
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
46%
Over 2.5
2.17
54%
Under 2.5
1.85
25%
Over 3.5
4.00
75%
Under 3.5
1.33
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.96
49%
BTTS No
2.04
Clean Sheet
32%
3.16
25%
3.95
Win to Nil
13%
7.52
8%
12.60
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0 | 9.2 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 12.7 | 7.3 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.6 | 8.7 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.3%.
How many goals are Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach expected to score?
The model projects 1.37 expected goals for Rapid Vienna and 1.15 for SCR Altach, a combined total of 2.52.
How confident is the prediction model for Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 42%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Rapid Vienna come into this having played 34 games, going 14W 7D 13L for 1.44 points per game. Their last five reads L-L-W-W-W. It's still early in the season for Rapid Vienna, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, SCR Altach sit at 0.94 PPG from 34 outings (7W 11D 16L), a run that reads D-D-D-W-W across their last five. It's still early in the season for SCR Altach, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Rapid Vienna carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.50 PPG clear of SCR Altach — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Home Ground vs the Road
Rapid Vienna's home form reads 11W 2D 4L across 17 games on their own ground, a 2.06 PPG return. That's noticeably better than their 1.44 PPG overall — Rapid Vienna are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
Away from home, SCR Altach have taken 0.88 points per game from 17 outings (4W 3D 10L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Rapid Vienna come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Rapid Vienna are averaging 1.41 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game recently; SCR Altach are on 0.94 scored and 1.35 conceded.
Last 34 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Rapid Vienna
Early Season
SCR Altach
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach in coming into this match?
Rapid Vienna have gone 14W 7D 13L in their last 34 games (1.44 PPG), while SCR Altach have gone 7W 11D 16L in their last 34 (0.94 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Rapid Vienna at home or SCR Altach away?
Rapid Vienna's home record (2.06 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Rapid Vienna at home: 2.06 PPG; SCR Altach away: 0.88 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to November 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 2 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 1 Mar 2025, when Rapid Vienna won 5-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Rapid Vienna's record when hosting SCR Altach specifically: 5W 1D 0L from 6 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
8
Rapid Vienna
2
Draws
0
SCR Altach
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach?
From 10 meetings on record, Rapid Vienna have won 8, SCR Altach have won 0, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach last play each other?
They last met on 2 August 2026, when Rapid Vienna 1-0 SCR Altach.
Who has won more matches between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach?
Rapid Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 8 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Rapid Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 82% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 59% of the time.
SCR Altach see a goal before the break in 53% of their matches.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Rapid Vienna 35%, SCR Altach 41% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 47% (Rapid Vienna) and 47% (SCR Altach).
On the defensive side: Rapid Vienna keep a clean sheet in 47% of their matches; SCR Altach in 53%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Rapid Vienna home games / SCR Altach away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Rapid Vienna play SCR Altach?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 35% of Rapid Vienna's recent matches and 41% of SCR Altach's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 47% of Rapid Vienna's recent games and 47% of SCR Altach's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach tend to score early?
Rapid Vienna have had a goal before half-time in 82% of their recent matches, SCR Altach in 53% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Rapid Vienna's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Allianz Stadion, Regular Season - 3, as Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach drew 0-0 in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Rapid Vienna 1.37 xG and SCR Altach 1.15 xG, a combined 2.52. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Rapid Vienna fell 1.4 short of their projected output. SCR Altach landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Rapid Vienna attack 1.03 / defence 0.81 against SCR Altach attack 1.06 / defence 0.92, drawn from 24/24 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it Rapid Vienna 42% | Draw 27% | SCR Altach 31%, with Rapid Vienna to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 72% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Rapid Vienna 56%, SCR Altach 41%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Rapid Vienna's trading profile (34 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not.
SCR Altach's trading profile (34 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 41% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Rapid Vienna arrived the stronger side — 1.44 PPG against 0.94. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Rapid Vienna (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.76 scoring average — below par going forward. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.88 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.65 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.