Al-Wasl FC 0-0 Baniyas SC – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Al-Wasl FC at 49%, yet other data sources diverge — this Al-Wasl FC vs Baniyas SC fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Pro League encounter, Regular Season - 14 sees Baniyas SC travel to Zabeel Stadium to take on Al-Wasl FC. The game is scheduled for Saturday 5 February 2022, 14:30 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Pro League games this season, Al-Wasl FC have gone 3W 4D 3L from 10 outings — a 1.30 PPG return. Last five: L D D W L. They are averaging 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.10 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. This season is still relatively young for Al-Wasl FC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
In front of their own supporters this season, Al-Wasl FC have posted 2W 2D 2L at Zabeel Stadium — 1.33 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Baniyas SC stand at 5W 2D 3L from 10 Pro League matches — 1.70 PPG. Last five: W W L W W. They are scoring at 1.80 per game and conceding 1.50. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Baniyas SC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Pro League this season, Baniyas SC have posted 2W 2D 2L from 6 away outings — 1.33 PPG. Away from home they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 67% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.30 PPG (Al-Wasl FC) versus 1.70 (Baniyas SC). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
Head to Head
The rivalry is an even one: 1 wins apiece for Al-Wasl FC, 0 for Baniyas SC and 0 shared spoils from 1 past contests. Neither side holds a meaningful historical edge.
The last 1 meetings have been tight affairs, averaging just 1.0 goals per game. That low-scoring pattern is a meaningful historical input for the Under 2.5 market. The most recent clash, on 20 Aug 2021, ended 1–0 with Al-Wasl FC winning.
With a balanced win record and just 1.0 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
In-Play Data
Al-Wasl FC trading profile (13 games, 6 at home): they score before half-time in 83% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 33% of games (home games).
Baniyas SC trading profile (13 games, 6 at away): they score before half-time in 67% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 75% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 67% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 67% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 38%; they fail to score in 38% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Al-Wasl FC 54% versus Baniyas SC 54%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Al-Wasl FC 38% | Baniyas SC 54%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Al-Wasl FC 1.72 xG and Baniyas SC 1.19 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Al-Wasl FC attack 1.059 / defence 1.045 | Baniyas SC attack 0.900 / defence 1.267. League average goals — home 1.278 / away 1.264. Baniyas SC bring a strong defensive rating of 1.267 — this is suppressing Al-Wasl FC's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 13 Al-Wasl FC games / 13 Baniyas SC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Al-Wasl FC 49% | Draw 26% | Baniyas SC 25%. Fair-value odds: Al-Wasl FC 2.04 | Draw 3.85 | Baniyas SC 4.00. Al-Wasl FC hold a narrow Poisson edge at 49% — the draw (26%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 56% | BTTS probability 58% | Total xG 2.91. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 56% — the 2.91 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS probability of 58% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Al-Wasl FC at 49% — moderate model lean. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Al-Wasl FC offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
The Poisson model projects 2.91 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 56% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 2.8 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 58% on Yes. Form rates corroborate: Al-Wasl FC 50% | Baniyas SC 67% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Al-Wasl FC vs Baniyas SC | Competition: Pro League, Regular Season - 14 | Venue: Zabeel Stadium • Kick-off: Saturday 5 Feb 2022, 14:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Al-Wasl FC 49% | Draw 26% | Baniyas SC 25% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 56% | BTTS 58% | xG Al-Wasl FC 1.72 / Baniyas SC 1.19 • Poisson strength factors: Al-Wasl FC attack 1.059 / def 1.045 | Baniyas SC attack 0.900 / def 1.267 | league avg home 1.278 / away 1.264 • Poisson stance: Al-Wasl FC (49%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.72
Al-Wasl FC xG
Expected Goals
1.19
Baniyas SC xG
58%
BTTS
80%
Over 1.5
56%
Over 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Al-Wasl FC vs Baniyas SC kick off?
Al-Wasl FC vs Baniyas SC kicked off at 14:30 on Saturday 5 February 2022 at Zabeel Stadium.
What was the final score in Al-Wasl FC vs Baniyas SC?
Al-Wasl FC 0 - 0 Baniyas SC.
Where is Al-Wasl FC vs Baniyas SC being played?
The match is being played at Zabeel Stadium.
What competition is Al-Wasl FC vs Baniyas SC part of?
Al-Wasl FC vs Baniyas SC is a Regular Season - 14 fixture in the Pro League (United-Arab-Emirates).
Who is favourite to win Al-Wasl FC vs Baniyas SC?
Our statistical model gives Al-Wasl FC a 49% chance of winning, Baniyas SC a 25% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Al-Wasl FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Al-Wasl FC vs Baniyas SC?
Our model estimates a 58% probability that both Al-Wasl FC and Baniyas SC will score (BTTS).
Will Al-Wasl FC vs Baniyas SC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 56%.
What is the head-to-head record between Al-Wasl FC and Baniyas SC?
Record (1 meetings): Al-Wasl FC 1W | Draws 0 | Baniyas SC 0W.
What form are Al-Wasl FC and Baniyas SC in?
Al-Wasl FC (all comps): 3W-4D-3L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 1.40 / GA 1.10 | L5 L-D-D-W-L. Baniyas SC (all comps): 5W-2D-3L in 10 | 1.70 PPG | GF 1.80 / GA 1.50 | L5 W-W-L-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Al-Wasl FC's attacking strength (1.06x league average) is weighed against Baniyas SC's defensive record (1.27x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.72. The same calculation in reverse, Baniyas SC's attack versus Al-Wasl FC's defence, projects 1.19 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 13/13 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 12.6%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (8.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 30% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Al-Wasl FC Win
49%
2.06
26%
3.86
25%
3.94
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.2%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
1 – 0
9.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.72
Al-Wasl FC xG
Total xG
2.91
1.19
Baniyas SC xG
2.06
49%
Home win
3.86
26%
Draw
3.94
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.72
42%
BTTS No
2.39
Clean Sheet
30%
3.28
18%
5.56
Win to Nil
15%
6.75
5%
21.90
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.4 | 11.2 | 6.6 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.1 | 9.6 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Al-Wasl FC vs Baniyas SC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.6%.
How many goals are Al-Wasl FC and Baniyas SC expected to score?
The model projects 1.72 expected goals for Al-Wasl FC and 1.19 for Baniyas SC, a combined total of 2.91.
How confident is the prediction model for Al-Wasl FC vs Baniyas SC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 49%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 13 outings, Al-Wasl FC have picked up 1.31 PPG on a 4W 5D 4L record — L-D-D-W-L across the most recent five. The sample for Al-Wasl FC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Baniyas SC's form line: 5W 3D 5L from 13 games, 1.38 PPG, last five W-W-L-W-W. The sample for Baniyas SC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: Al-Wasl FC on 1.31 PPG, Baniyas SC on 1.38. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
On home soil, Al-Wasl FC have posted 1.33 PPG from 6 outings (2W 2D 2L).
On the road, Baniyas SC have gone 2W 2D 2L from 6 away games — 1.33 PPG when travelling.
The Goals Picture
Al-Wasl FC are averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game recently; Baniyas SC are on 1.46 scored and 1.38 conceded.
Defensively: Al-Wasl FC have kept a clean sheet in 38% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 13 Results — Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Al-Wasl FC
Blended
Baniyas SC
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Al-Wasl FC and Baniyas SC in coming into this match?
Al-Wasl FC have gone 4W 5D 4L in their last 13 games (1.31 PPG), while Baniyas SC have gone 5W 3D 5L in their last 13 (1.38 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Al-Wasl FC at home or Baniyas SC away?
Al-Wasl FC's home record (1.33 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Al-Wasl FC at home: 1.33 PPG; Baniyas SC away: 1.33 PPG.
Have Al-Wasl FC or Baniyas SC been keeping clean sheets recently?
Al-Wasl FC have kept a clean sheet in 38% of their recent games, Baniyas SC in 8%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Al-Wasl FC and Baniyas SC runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to August 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Pro League. They last met on 7 March 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 19 Apr 2023, when Al-Wasl FC won 3-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Al-Wasl FC's record when hosting Baniyas SC specifically: 4W 1D 0L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
7
Al-Wasl FC
2
Draws
1
Baniyas SC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Al-Wasl FC and Baniyas SC?
From 10 meetings on record, Al-Wasl FC have won 7, Baniyas SC have won 1, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Al-Wasl FC and Baniyas SC last play each other?
They last met on 7 March 2026, when Baniyas SC 2-0 Al-Wasl FC.
Who has won more matches between Al-Wasl FC and Baniyas SC?
Al-Wasl FC have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Al-Wasl FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 83% of their matches.
Baniyas SC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Al-Wasl FC 50%, Baniyas SC 67% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 33% (Al-Wasl FC) and 67% (Baniyas SC).
On the defensive side: Al-Wasl FC keep a clean sheet in 33% of their matches; Baniyas SC in 33%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Al-Wasl FC home games / Baniyas SC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Al-Wasl FC play Baniyas SC?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 50% of Al-Wasl FC's games and 67% of Baniyas SC's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Al-Wasl FC vs Baniyas SC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 33% of Al-Wasl FC's recent games and 67% of Baniyas SC's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Al-Wasl FC and Baniyas SC tend to score early?
Al-Wasl FC have had a goal before half-time in 83% of their recent matches, Baniyas SC in 67% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Al-Wasl FC's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Al-Wasl FC and Baniyas SC finished level at 0-0 at Zabeel Stadium, Regular Season - 14, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Wasl FC 1.72 xG and Baniyas SC 1.19 xG, a combined 2.91. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Al-Wasl FC fell 1.7 short of their projected output. Baniyas SC landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Wasl FC attack 1.06 / defence 1.04 against Baniyas SC attack 0.90 / defence 1.27, drawn from 13/13 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Al-Wasl FC 49% | Draw 26% | Baniyas SC 25%, with Al-Wasl FC to win its most likely call at 49%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 56%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 80% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Wasl FC 38%, Baniyas SC 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Al-Wasl FC's trading profile (13 games, 6 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and duly kept one.
Baniyas SC's trading profile (13 games, 6 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 38% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Al-Wasl FC 1.31 PPG, Baniyas SC 1.38 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Al-Wasl FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.50 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Baniyas SC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.33 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.67 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.