Grasshoppers 0-2 Servette FC – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model favours Servette FC (46%) — recent form and the head-to-head data both point the same way as Grasshoppers face Servette FC.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
Servette FC travel to Letzigrund Stadion to take on Grasshoppers in Super League (Relegation Group - 35). The game is scheduled for Sunday 3 May 2026 at 16:30 UK time.
Form Guide
Grasshoppers — last 10 games: 2W 1D 7L, averaging 0.70 points per game. Last five: L L L W L. They are averaging 0.80 goals per game and conceding 2.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.20 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%).
Grasshoppers's home record over their last 10 home games: 1W 2D 7L (0.50 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.90 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Looking at their last 10 matches, Servette FC stand at 4W 5D 1L — 1.70 PPG. Last five: L W W D W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.20 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%). Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
When travelling, Servette FC have posted 2W 6D 2L from their last 10 away outings — 1.20 PPG. Away from home they average 1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 90% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture. Their away PPG of 1.20 is notably below their overall 1.70 — form away from home has been a clear weakness recently.
The form data does not support a straightforward home bias here. Servette FC are 1.00 PPG ahead (1.70 vs 0.70), making them the form-guided selection despite the trip.
Both teams have scored in at least 70% of each side's games (from Grasshoppers's last 10 home games and Servette FC's last 10 away games). At that combined rate, BTTS Yes is as well-evidenced as it gets — the data strongly backs two-way scoring.
H2H Record
Servette FC have tended to come out on top in this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 H2H matches we hold against 0 for Grasshoppers.
The 8 H2H matches in our data averaged 2.5 goals per game — a neutral rate that gives no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent of those, on 21 Mar 2026, ended Grasshoppers 0–5 Servette FC — a Servette FC win.
Servette FC have the better head-to-head record despite being the visitors — 5 wins from 8 H2H matches. Home advantage alone is not a reason to dismiss that.
Trading Patterns
Grasshoppers in-play and half-time data (last 72 games, 35 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 83% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 90% of the time; of the 21 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 43%; BTTS occurs in 69% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 60% of games (home games).
Servette FC in-play and half-time data (last 72 games, 35 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 77% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 82% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 65% of those occasions; of the 22 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 36%; BTTS occurs in 77% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 60% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 46%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Grasshoppers 57% and Servette FC 71% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Grasshoppers 53% | Servette FC 62%). There is an in-play dynamic worth noting: Grasshoppers surrender their half-time lead 43% of the time, while Servette FC have come from behind at the break to draw or win in 36% of cases — a combination that makes laying the hosts at HT a potential angle.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Grasshoppers 1.43 xG and Servette FC 1.88 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Grasshoppers attack 0.787 / defence 1.231 | Servette FC attack 1.069 / defence 1.065. League average goals — home 1.709 / away 1.428. Grasshoppers's attack rating of 0.787 is below the league average, which holds their xG down at 1.43. Grasshoppers's defence rating of 1.231 (above 1 = concedes more than average) is pushing Servette FC's projected output up. Data: built from Grasshoppers's last 66 games and Servette FC's last 66.
Result probabilities: Grasshoppers 27% | Draw 26% | Servette FC 46%. Fair-value odds: Grasshoppers 3.64 | Draw 3.80 | Servette FC 2.17. Servette FC hold a narrow Poisson edge at 46% — the draw (26%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 64% | BTTS Yes probability 66% | Total xG 3.31. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 64% — the 3.31 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 66% — both xG figures (1.43 / 1.88) are high enough that each side is projected to find the net.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Servette FC at 46% — moderate model lean. Recent form and the head-to-head data both align with the Poisson read — multi-source corroboration increases confidence in this selection. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Servette FC offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 3.31 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 64% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by recent form (Grasshoppers's last 10 home games and Servette FC's last 10 away games) averaging 3.1 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 66%. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: Grasshoppers 70% (last 10 home games) | Servette FC 90% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Grasshoppers vs Servette FC | Competition: Super League, Relegation Group - 35 | Venue: Letzigrund Stadion • Kick-off: Sunday 3 May 2026 at 16:30 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Grasshoppers 27% | Draw 26% | Servette FC 46% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 64% (Under 36%) | BTTS Yes 66% (No 34%) | xG Grasshoppers 1.43 / Servette FC 1.88 • Poisson strength factors: Grasshoppers attack 0.787 / def 1.231 | Servette FC attack 1.069 / def 1.065 | league avg home 1.709 / away 1.428 • Poisson stance: Servette FC (46%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.43
Grasshoppers xG
Expected Goals
1.88
Servette FC xG
66%
BTTS
86%
Over 1.5
64%
Over 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Grasshoppers vs Servette FC FAQs
What time does Grasshoppers vs Servette FC kick off?
Grasshoppers vs Servette FC kicked off at 16:30 UK time on Sunday 3 May 2026 at Letzigrund Stadion.
What was the final score in Grasshoppers vs Servette FC?
Grasshoppers 0 - 2 Servette FC.
Where is Grasshoppers vs Servette FC being played?
The match is being played at Letzigrund Stadion.
What competition is Grasshoppers vs Servette FC part of?
Grasshoppers vs Servette FC is a Super League fixture (Relegation Group - 35) (Switzerland).
Who is favourite to win Grasshoppers vs Servette FC?
Our statistical model gives Grasshoppers a 27% chance of winning, Servette FC a 46% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Servette FC the favourite.
Will both teams score in Grasshoppers vs Servette FC?
Our model estimates a 66% probability that both Grasshoppers and Servette FC will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will Grasshoppers vs Servette FC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 64%, so it leans towards over 2.5 goals.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Grasshoppers's attacking strength (0.79x league average) is weighed against Servette FC's defensive record (1.06x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.43. The same calculation in reverse, Servette FC's attack versus Grasshoppers's defence, projects 1.88 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from Grasshoppers's last 66 games and Servette FC's last 66 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 11.1%. Close behind: 1-2 (9.2%), 2-1 (7.0%). Together the top three scorelines make up 27% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Servette FC Win
27%
3.64
26%
3.80
46%
2.17
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.8%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.2%
Away win
2 – 1
7.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.43
Grasshoppers xG
Total xG
3.31
1.88
Servette FC xG
3.64
27%
Home win
3.80
26%
Draw
2.17
46%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
64%
Over 2.5
1.56
36%
Under 2.5
2.78
42%
Over 3.5
2.38
58%
Under 3.5
1.72
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.50
34%
BTTS No
2.98
Clean Sheet
15%
6.55
24%
4.19
Win to Nil
4%
23.84
11%
9.07
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6 | 6.9 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 5.2 | 9.8 | 9.2 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 3.7 | 7.0 | 6.6 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Grasshoppers vs Servette FC Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Grasshoppers vs Servette FC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.1%.
How many goals are Grasshoppers and Servette FC expected to score?
The model projects 1.43 expected goals for Grasshoppers and 1.88 for Servette FC, a combined total of 3.31.
How confident is the prediction model for Grasshoppers vs Servette FC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 46%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 72 outings, Grasshoppers have picked up 0.94 PPG on a 16W 20D 36L record — L-L-L-W-L across the most recent five.
Servette FC's form line: 27W 25D 20L from 72 games, 1.47 PPG, last five L-W-W-D-W.
Put side by side, Servette FC are the form team by 0.53 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Grasshoppers.
Venue Form
On home soil, Grasshoppers have posted 1.11 PPG from their last 35 home games (9W 12D 14L).
On the road, Servette FC have gone 12W 11D 12L from their last 35 away games — 1.34 PPG when travelling.
Goals in Recent Form
Grasshoppers are averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game recently; Servette FC are on 1.75 scored and 1.60 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Servette FC in 71%.
Last 72 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Grasshoppers
Current Season
Servette FC
Current Season
Grasshoppers (Home) vs Servette FC (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Grasshoppers
Current Season
Servette FC
Current Season
❓ Grasshoppers vs Servette FC Form FAQs
What form are Grasshoppers and Servette FC in coming into this match?
Grasshoppers have gone 16W 20D 36L in their last 72 games (0.94 PPG), while Servette FC have gone 27W 25D 20L in their last 72 (1.47 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Grasshoppers at home or Servette FC away?
Servette FC's away record (1.34 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Grasshoppers at home: 1.11 PPG; Servette FC away: 1.34 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
This section is based on the 10 H2H matches we hold for this pairing, spanning roughly 2 years from November 2023. All of them came in Super League. The most recent was on 8 August 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Streaks & Records
Servette FC have won each of the latest 4 H2H matches we hold, a run that gives them the edge coming in.
The biggest gap in our H2H data came on 21 Mar 2026, when Servette FC won Servette FC 5-0 Grasshoppers.
Grasshoppers's record when hosting Servette FC specifically: 0W 1D 3L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
0
Grasshoppers
3
Draws
7
Servette FC
Recent Meetings
❓ Grasshoppers vs Servette FC H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Grasshoppers and Servette FC?
Across the 10 head-to-head matches in our data, Grasshoppers have won 0, Servette FC have won 7, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Grasshoppers and Servette FC last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 8 August 2026: Servette FC 2-1 Grasshoppers.
Who has won more matches between Grasshoppers and Servette FC?
Servette FC have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from the 10 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Grasshoppers are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 83% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 40% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 43% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 36% of those situations.
Servette FC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 77% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 31% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 27% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 43% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — Grasshoppers at 69%, Servette FC at 77%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 60% for Grasshoppers and 60% for Servette FC. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 37% and 49% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Grasshoppers home games / Servette FC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Grasshoppers vs Servette FC Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Grasshoppers and Servette FC matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 69% of Grasshoppers's games and 77% of Servette FC's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are Grasshoppers and Servette FC matches usually high-scoring?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 60% of Grasshoppers's matches and 60% of Servette FC's.
Do Grasshoppers and Servette FC matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 83% of Grasshoppers's recent matches and 77% of Servette FC's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Servette FC cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Grasshoppers.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Servette FC beat Grasshoppers 0-2 at Letzigrund Stadion, Relegation Group - 35, in the Super League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Grasshoppers 1.43 xG and Servette FC 1.88 xG, a combined 3.31. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Grasshoppers fell 1.4 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Grasshoppers attack 0.79 / defence 1.23 against Servette FC attack 1.07 / defence 1.06, drawn from 66/66 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Grasshoppers 27% | Draw 26% | Servette FC 46%, with Servette FC to win its most likely call at 46%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 86% and landed. Over 3.5 was 42% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 66% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Grasshoppers 53%, Servette FC 62%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 64%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Grasshoppers's trading profile (72 games, 35 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Servette FC's trading profile (72 games, 35 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 71% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
On form, Servette FC arrived the stronger side — 1.47 PPG against 0.94. That form edge translated into the three points. Grasshoppers (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.51 scoring average — below par going forward. Servette FC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.71 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.