Grasshoppers 0-4 FC Sion – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates FC Sion at 38% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Grasshoppers vs FC Sion encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Super League encounter, Regular Season - 32 sees FC Sion travel to Letzigrund Stadion to take on Grasshoppers. The game is scheduled for Monday 6 April 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Super League games this season, Grasshoppers have gone 1W 3D 6L from 10 outings — a 0.60 PPG return. Last five: W L L L L. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 2.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.20 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
In front of their own supporters this season, Grasshoppers have posted 1W 4D 5L at Letzigrund Stadion — 0.70 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Looking at all fixtures this season, FC Sion stand at 3W 5D 2L from 10 Super League matches — 1.40 PPG. Last five: D L D W D. Their scoring rate of 1.30 per game is modest, conceding 1.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
FC Sion's away record: 1W 5D 4L from 10 road trips in Super League this season (0.80 PPG). Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture. Their away PPG of 0.80 is notably below their overall 1.40 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
The form data does not support a straightforward home bias here. FC Sion are 0.80 PPG ahead (1.40 vs 0.60), making them the form-guided selection despite the trip.
Both teams score in over 80% of each side's relevant games (using home/away splits). At that combined rate, BTTS Yes is as well-evidenced as it gets — the data strongly backs two-way scoring.
H2H
The H2H landscape is flat: 9 previous encounters have yielded 3 wins for Grasshoppers, 4 for FC Sion and 2 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
Goals have been a feature of this fixture. The last 9 meetings have averaged 3.0 per game — a rate that gives the Over 2.5 market a solid historical foundation. The most recent clash, on 13 Dec 2025, ended 0–1 with FC Sion winning.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.0 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading Patterns
Grasshoppers in-play and half-time data (69 games, 34 at home): they score before half-time in 82% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 90% of the time; BTTS occurs in 68% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 59% of games (home games).
FC Sion in-play and half-time data (69 games, 34 at away): they score before half-time in 74% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 74% of the time; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Grasshoppers 58% versus FC Sion 59%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Grasshoppers 52% | FC Sion 45%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Grasshoppers 1.26 xG and FC Sion 1.43 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Grasshoppers attack 0.838 / defence 1.080 | FC Sion attack 0.919 / defence 0.865. League average goals — home 1.733 / away 1.442. Data: 64 Grasshoppers games / 64 FC Sion games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Grasshoppers 30% | Draw 31% | FC Sion 38%. Fair-value odds: Grasshoppers 3.33 | Draw 3.23 | FC Sion 2.63. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 31% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 50% | BTTS probability 57% | Total xG 2.69. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 50%/50% — the total xG of 2.69 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 57% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is FC Sion at 38% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 31% draw probability, Draw No Bet on FC Sion offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 30% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.69 combined xG gives a 50% probability to Over 2.5 — strong, supported by form averaging 2.8 goals per game and H2H averaging 3.0 goals per meeting.
Poisson assigns a 57% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Grasshoppers 80% | FC Sion 80% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 30% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Grasshoppers vs FC Sion | Competition: Super League, Regular Season - 32 | Venue: Letzigrund Stadion • Kick-off: Monday 6 Apr 2026, 13:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Grasshoppers 30% | Draw 31% | FC Sion 38% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 50% | BTTS 57% | xG Grasshoppers 1.26 / FC Sion 1.43 • Poisson strength factors: Grasshoppers attack 0.838 / def 1.080 | FC Sion attack 0.919 / def 0.865 | league avg home 1.733 / away 1.442 • Poisson stance: FC Sion (38%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.26
Grasshoppers xG
Expected Goals
1.43
FC Sion xG
57%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Grasshoppers vs FC Sion kick off?
Grasshoppers vs FC Sion kicked off at 13:00 on Monday 6 April 2026 at Letzigrund Stadion.
What was the final score in Grasshoppers vs FC Sion?
Grasshoppers 0 - 4 FC Sion.
Where is Grasshoppers vs FC Sion being played?
The match is being played at Letzigrund Stadion.
What competition is Grasshoppers vs FC Sion part of?
Grasshoppers vs FC Sion is a Regular Season - 32 fixture in the Super League (Switzerland).
Who is favourite to win Grasshoppers vs FC Sion?
Our statistical model gives Grasshoppers a 30% chance of winning, FC Sion a 38% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw — making FC Sion the favourite.
Will both teams score in Grasshoppers vs FC Sion?
Our model estimates a 57% probability that both Grasshoppers and FC Sion will score (BTTS).
Will Grasshoppers vs FC Sion have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 50%.
What is the head-to-head record between Grasshoppers and FC Sion?
Record (9 meetings): Grasshoppers 3W | Draws 2 | FC Sion 4W.
What form are Grasshoppers and FC Sion in?
Grasshoppers (all comps): 1W-3D-6L in 10 | 0.60 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 2.20 | L5 W-L-L-L-L. FC Sion (all comps): 3W-5D-2L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.30 / GA 1.00 | L5 D-L-D-W-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Working from Grasshoppers's attack rating (0.84) and FC Sion's defence rating (0.86), the model arrives at 1.26 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, FC Sion's attack versus Grasshoppers's defence, projects 1.43 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 64/64 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.8%. Close behind: 1-2 (8.8%), 0-0 (8.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
FC Sion Win
30%
3.31
31%
3.19
38%
2.61
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.2%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
9.7%
Away win
1 – 2
8.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.26
Grasshoppers xG
Total xG
2.69
1.43
FC Sion xG
3.31
30%
Home win
3.19
31%
Draw
2.61
38%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.75
43%
BTTS No
2.34
Clean Sheet
24%
4.19
28%
3.51
Win to Nil
7%
13.85
11%
9.15
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 9.7 | 7.0 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.5 | 12.2 | 8.8 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 7.7 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Grasshoppers vs FC Sion?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.8%.
How many goals are Grasshoppers and FC Sion expected to score?
The model projects 1.26 expected goals for Grasshoppers and 1.43 for FC Sion, a combined total of 2.69.
How confident is the prediction model for Grasshoppers vs FC Sion?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 38%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Grasshoppers's recent record stands at 15W 20D 34L from 69 games, a 0.94 PPG return, with W-L-L-L-L in the last five.
FC Sion, meanwhile, have gone 22W 24D 23L across 69 games — 1.30 PPG, with D-L-D-W-D in their last five.
Form-wise this is close to level: Grasshoppers on 0.94 PPG, FC Sion on 1.30. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
At home specifically, Grasshoppers have managed 9W 12D 13L from 34 games — 1.15 PPG in front of their own supporters.
FC Sion's away record stands at 7W 10D 17L across 34 trips, a 0.91 PPG haul.
The Goals Picture
Grasshoppers are averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game recently; FC Sion are on 1.32 scored and 1.33 conceded.
Last 69 Results — Super League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Grasshoppers
Current Season
FC Sion
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Grasshoppers and FC Sion in coming into this match?
Grasshoppers have gone 15W 20D 34L in their last 69 games (0.94 PPG), while FC Sion have gone 22W 24D 23L in their last 69 (1.30 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Grasshoppers at home or FC Sion away?
Grasshoppers's home record (1.15 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Grasshoppers at home: 1.15 PPG; FC Sion away: 0.91 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Grasshoppers and FC Sion runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to October 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Super League. They last met on 6 April 2026, roughly 4 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
FC Sion have won the last 4 meetings between these two, a run that gives them the psychological edge coming in.
The biggest gap between the sides came on 6 Apr 2026, when FC Sion won 0-4 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Grasshoppers's record when hosting FC Sion specifically: 1W 2D 3L from 6 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
3
Grasshoppers
2
Draws
5
FC Sion
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Grasshoppers and FC Sion?
From 10 meetings on record, Grasshoppers have won 3, FC Sion have won 5, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Grasshoppers and FC Sion last play each other?
They last met on 6 April 2026, when Grasshoppers 0-4 FC Sion.
Who has won more matches between Grasshoppers and FC Sion?
FC Sion have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Grasshoppers are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 82% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 38% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
FC Sion are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 74% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 18% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Grasshoppers 68%, FC Sion 62% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 59% (Grasshoppers) and 50% (FC Sion).
On the defensive side: FC Sion in 32%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Grasshoppers home games / FC Sion away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Grasshoppers play FC Sion?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 68% of Grasshoppers's games and 62% of FC Sion's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Grasshoppers vs FC Sion usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 59% of Grasshoppers's recent games and 50% of FC Sion's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Grasshoppers and FC Sion tend to score early?
Grasshoppers have had a goal before half-time in 82% of their recent matches, FC Sion in 74% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Dominant FC Sion run riot with a 0-4 hammering of Grasshoppers.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
FC Sion beat Grasshoppers 0-4 at Letzigrund Stadion, Regular Season - 32, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Grasshoppers 1.26 xG and FC Sion 1.43 xG, a combined 2.69. The scoreboard read 0-4 for 4 actual goals. Grasshoppers fell 1.3 short of their projected output. FC Sion outscored their 1.43 projection by 2.6. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Grasshoppers attack 0.84 / defence 1.08 against FC Sion attack 0.92 / defence 0.86, drawn from 64/64 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Grasshoppers 30% | Draw 31% | FC Sion 38%, with FC Sion to win its most likely call at 38%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. Over 3.5 was 28% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Grasshoppers 52%, FC Sion 45%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Grasshoppers's trading profile (69 games, 34 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.
FC Sion's trading profile (69 games, 34 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Grasshoppers 0.94 PPG, FC Sion 1.30 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the FC Sion win broke the near-deadlock. Grasshoppers (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.53 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 4 against a 1.35 concession average — a leakier day than usual. FC Sion (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.09 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.71 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.