Landskrona BoIS 0-0 Osters IF – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Osters IF at 41% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Osters IF make the trip to Landskrona Idrottsplats to face Landskrona BoIS in Superettan, Regular Season - 22. The match kicks off on Friday 13 September 2024 at 18:00 UTC.
Form & Momentum
Landskrona BoIS have collected 1.70 PPG across 10 Superettan outings this season: 5W 2D 3L. Last five: W D L L W. Offensively they are averaging 1.80 goals per game, with 1.70 conceded. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Landskrona BoIS, so this record blends games from this season and last.
In front of their own supporters this season, Landskrona BoIS have posted 6W 2D 2L at Landskrona Idrottsplats — 2.00 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 5 clean sheets from 10 home games (50%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at Landskrona Idrottsplats.
Osters IF's overall Superettan record this term: 4W 3D 3L from 10 games (1.50 PPG). Last five: L D W L D. They are scoring at 1.70 per game and conceding 1.10. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. This season is still relatively young for Osters IF, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, Osters IF have gone 3W 3D 4L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.20 PPG). Away from home they average 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 1.70 PPG for Landskrona BoIS against 1.50 for Osters IF. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head ledger leans to Osters IF, who have claimed 4 wins from 7 meetings compared to 0 for the hosts, with 3 draws.
Attacking output has been a hallmark of this fixture. At 3.0 goals per game across 7 meetings, the Over 2.5 has a statistically grounded case from the head-to-head record alone. The most recent clash, on 22 May 2024, ended 1–2 with Osters IF winning.
The H2H provides genuine backing for the away side. Osters IF have won 4 of 7 previous encounters, and at 3.0 goals per game, the goals market also points upward. The away win and Over 2.5 combination has a historical case worth noting.
Trading Data
Landskrona BoIS goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (51 games, 25 at home): they score before half-time in 80% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 64% of the time; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 56% of games (home games).
Osters IF goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (51 games, 25 at away): they score before half-time in 68% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 87% of the time; BTTS occurs in 80% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 68% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Landskrona BoIS 57% versus Osters IF 61%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Landskrona BoIS 59% | Osters IF 61%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Landskrona BoIS 1.40 xG and Osters IF 1.59 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Landskrona BoIS attack 0.988 / defence 1.251 | Osters IF attack 1.014 / defence 1.010. League average goals — home 1.404 / away 1.250. Data: 51 Landskrona BoIS games / 51 Osters IF games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Landskrona BoIS 33% | Draw 26% | Osters IF 41%. Fair-value odds: Landskrona BoIS 3.03 | Draw 3.85 | Osters IF 2.44. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 26% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 57% | BTTS probability 61% | Total xG 2.99. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 57% — the 2.99 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 61% reflects that both xG figures (1.40 / 1.59) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Osters IF as the most likely outcome at 41% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 26% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Osters IF if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.99 combined xG gives a 57% probability to Over 2.5 — strong, supported by form averaging 2.9 goals per game and H2H averaging 3.0 goals per meeting.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 61%. Form rates corroborate: Landskrona BoIS 40% | Osters IF 70% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 33% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF | Competition: Superettan, Regular Season - 22 | Venue: Landskrona Idrottsplats • Kick-off: Friday 13 Sep 2024, 18:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Landskrona BoIS 33% | Draw 26% | Osters IF 41% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 57% | BTTS 61% | xG Landskrona BoIS 1.40 / Osters IF 1.59 • Poisson strength factors: Landskrona BoIS attack 0.988 / def 1.251 | Osters IF attack 1.014 / def 1.010 | league avg home 1.404 / away 1.250 • Poisson stance: Osters IF (41%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.40
Landskrona BoIS xG
Expected Goals
1.59
Osters IF xG
61%
BTTS
81%
Over 1.5
57%
Over 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF kick off?
Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF kicked off at 18:00 on Friday 13 September 2024 at Landskrona Idrottsplats.
What was the final score in Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF?
Landskrona BoIS 0 - 0 Osters IF.
Where is Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF being played?
The match is being played at Landskrona Idrottsplats.
What competition is Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF part of?
Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF is a Regular Season - 22 fixture in the Superettan (Sweden).
Who is favourite to win Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF?
Our statistical model gives Landskrona BoIS a 33% chance of winning, Osters IF a 41% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Osters IF the favourite.
Will both teams score in Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF?
Our model estimates a 61% probability that both Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF will score (BTTS).
Will Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 57%.
What is the head-to-head record between Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF?
Record (7 meetings): Landskrona BoIS 0W | Draws 3 | Osters IF 4W.
What form are Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF in?
Landskrona BoIS (all comps): 5W-2D-3L in 10 | 1.70 PPG | GF 1.80 / GA 1.70 | L5 W-D-L-L-W. Osters IF (all comps): 4W-3D-3L in 10 | 1.50 PPG | GF 1.70 / GA 1.10 | L5 L-D-W-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Landskrona BoIS's attack at 0.99x the league average against Osters IF's defence at 1.01x — combine the two and it projects 1.40 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Osters IF's attack (1.01x) against Landskrona BoIS's defence (1.25x) — and the away total comes out at 1.59.
These ratings are built from 51/51 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 12.7% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-2 (8.9%), 2-1 (7.9%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Osters IF Win
33%
3.02
26%
3.91
41%
2.42
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.9%
Away win
0 – 1
8.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.40
Landskrona BoIS xG
Total xG
2.99
1.59
Osters IF xG
3.02
33%
Home win
3.91
26%
Draw
2.42
41%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.65
39%
BTTS No
2.54
Clean Sheet
20%
4.88
25%
4.06
Win to Nil
7%
14.73
10%
9.84
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 11.2 | 8.9 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.0 | 7.9 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.7%.
How many goals are Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF expected to score?
The model projects 1.40 expected goals for Landskrona BoIS and 1.59 for Osters IF, a combined total of 2.99.
How confident is the prediction model for Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 41%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Across their last 51 outings, Landskrona BoIS have picked up 1.57 PPG on a 23W 11D 17L record — W-D-L-L-W across the most recent five. The sample for Landskrona BoIS is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Osters IF's form line: 25W 13D 13L from 51 games, 1.73 PPG, last five L-D-W-L-D. The sample for Osters IF is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.57 PPG for Landskrona BoIS against 1.73 for Osters IF. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
On home soil, Landskrona BoIS have posted 1.68 PPG from 25 outings (12W 6D 7L).
On the road, Osters IF have gone 10W 7D 8L from 25 away games — 1.48 PPG when travelling.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Landskrona BoIS are averaging 1.49 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game recently; Osters IF are on 1.75 scored and 1.08 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Osters IF in 61%.
Last 51 Results — Superettan
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Landskrona BoIS
Blended
Osters IF
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF in coming into this match?
Landskrona BoIS have gone 23W 11D 17L in their last 51 games (1.57 PPG), while Osters IF have gone 25W 13D 13L in their last 51 (1.73 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Landskrona BoIS at home or Osters IF away?
Landskrona BoIS's home record (1.68 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Landskrona BoIS at home: 1.68 PPG; Osters IF away: 1.48 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 9 times since April 2021 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Superettan. They last met on 4 May 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
The last 2 meetings have all been drawn — an unusually settled recent run for this fixture.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Osters IF won 1-4 on 2 Nov 2021, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Landskrona BoIS have gone 0W 3D 2L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Osters IF — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 9 Meetings
0
Landskrona BoIS
5
Draws
4
Osters IF
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF?
From 9 meetings on record, Landskrona BoIS have won 0, Osters IF have won 4, and 5 have been drawn.
When did Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF last play each other?
They last met on 4 May 2026, when Landskrona BoIS 2-2 Osters IF.
Who has won more matches between Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF?
Osters IF have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 9 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Landskrona BoIS are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 44% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
Osters IF are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 68% of their matches.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS has landed consistently for both sides recently — 56% for Landskrona BoIS, 80% for Osters IF — a strong two-way scoring signal.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 56% for Landskrona BoIS and 68% for Osters IF. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 32% and 36% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Landskrona BoIS keep a clean sheet in 32% of their matches.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Landskrona BoIS home games / Osters IF away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Landskrona BoIS play Osters IF?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 56% of Landskrona BoIS's games and 80% of Osters IF's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 56% of Landskrona BoIS's matches and 68% of Osters IF's.
Do Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF tend to score early?
Landskrona BoIS have had a goal before half-time in 80% of their recent matches, Osters IF in 68% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Landskrona BoIS's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Landskrona Idrottsplats, Regular Season - 22, as Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF drew 0-0 in the Superettan. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Landskrona BoIS 1.40 xG and Osters IF 1.59 xG, a combined 2.99. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Landskrona BoIS fell 1.4 short of their projected output. Osters IF landed 1.6 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Landskrona BoIS attack 0.99 / defence 1.25 against Osters IF attack 1.01 / defence 1.01, drawn from 51/51 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Landskrona BoIS 33% | Draw 26% | Osters IF 41%, with Osters IF to win its most likely call at 41%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 81% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Landskrona BoIS 59%, Osters IF 61%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Landskrona BoIS's trading profile (51 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not.
Osters IF's trading profile (51 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Landskrona BoIS 1.57 PPG, Osters IF 1.73 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Landskrona BoIS (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.60 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.28 average — tighter than their form line. Osters IF (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.60 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.40 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.